"Then when they ran the simulation over and over, they found that the richest person was never the most talented. Instead, it was almost always someone close to average."
"[Nassim Nicholas] Taleb, Duncan Watts, and Robert Frank have each shown how we tend to infer reasons backward when success is produced, with what they call the "narrative fallacy" or, more commonly, "hindsight bias." The notion that billionaires must be talented is one such fallacy."
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