Saakashvili’s actions towards Abkhazia & South Ossetia, he presented the hope for peaceful resolutions then he crushed it. He hardened the divide with the Abkhazians & the Ossetians where they don’t want anything to do with the Georgians anymore than being neighbors. US intelligence failed Georgians - ThreadSky

typhoonstorm95.bsky.social • 5 days ago

Saakashvili’s actions towards Abkhazia & South Ossetia, he presented the hope for peaceful resolutions then he crushed it. He hardened the divide with the Abkhazians & the Ossetians where they don’t want anything to do with the Georgians anymore than being neighbors. US intelligence failed Georgians

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altostratus.bsky.social•5 days ago

There was a huge failure by the US here, but it did force Putin to limit his gains.
As I recall, 'separatists' in these effectively Russian held regions escalated their attacks and Saakashvilli was left with few options.
I don't know what the ideal approach would have been - Putin wanted concessions

typhoonstorm95.bsky.social•5 days ago

US Intelligence failed Georgia during the early 2000s under Shevardnadze. Putin did strike on Georgian territory in Pankisi Gorge & not many remember this. Saakashvili had controlled the media in Georgia at that point & was hiring a great number of lobbyist firms in the US.

typhoonstorm95.bsky.social•5 days ago

Those two Abkhazia & South Ossetia were not Russian held. We failed them over 30 years ago. Georgian chauvinism has been forgotten despite being reported back then. That is Russian hybrid warfare against those two in order to isolate them from the US & Europe as well.

altostratus.bsky.social•5 days ago

I have no doubt rebels there were strongly connected to and likely to have been largely under the control of the Kremlin, in particular around the timing of escalations.

typhoonstorm95.bsky.social•5 days ago

There were not rebels. Their situation is exactly like Kosovo to Serbia. For the Abkhazian president at the time, Russians had tightened the blockade around Abkhazia in 2005 to influence the election to get their guy to win.

altostratus.bsky.social•5 days ago

See also https://www.rferl.org/a/1109583.html
Saakashvilli's re-election took place in January of 2008.
The context is interesting to consider.

typhoonstorm95.bsky.social•5 days ago

Russian hybrid warfare is good at isolating the post Soviet space. GD won the majority & many don’t understand the many parties of the opposition were founded by UNM members. Those UNM Georgians are completely tainted in Georgia. There is no redemption for what they done against the Georgian people.

altostratus.bsky.social•5 days ago

I believe it operates well outside the post-soviet space too - See Marie Le-Pen's trips to Moscow, Aaron Bank's purchase of suddenly productive mines prior to Brexit, and releases of Hilary Clinton's emails to Wikileaks.
I like your points about GD's links to other political parties.

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