Gerry Connolly's death is more bad news for Mikie Sherrill and Josh Gottheimer; anecdotally I've heard many, many voters were already hesitant to create another Dem House vacancy, and now the math is tighter
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feel compelled to reiterate that Sherrill remains favored but this is something that could foreseeably create late movement against her, especially with the still-large share of undecided voters
Also despite her primary campaign being worse than expected, it's still probably the 2nd best campaign in the primary after Fulop's as sad as that sounds.
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Being the only woman in the field
Dem voters being more likely to nominate moderates after a huge loss
Gottheimer's campaign being an absolute flop (thus helping Sherrill consolidate moderate votes)