The impact assessment published yesterday is grim enough already: 250,000 people pushed into poverty, including 50,000 children. For those already in poverty, it becomes more deeply entrenched (4/8) - ThreadSky

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craigpberry.bsky.social • 67 days ago

The impact assessment published yesterday is grim enough already: 250,000 people pushed into poverty, including 50,000 children.

For those already in poverty, it becomes more deeply entrenched (4/8)

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craigpberry.bsky.social•67 days ago

(BTW the 'we haven't modelled employment support impact' doesn't work, as the OBR seems to imply, because the new money is not being invested quickly enough, the UK doesn't have a great track record on ES, and there's no serious effort to address wider barriers to work resulting from poverty) (5/8)

craigpberry.bsky.social•67 days ago

Note also that the actual rise in poverty will probably be much higher. The impact assessment chose an inappropriate baseline for analysis (6/8)

https://bsky.app/profile/iainkporter.bsky.social/post/3llcbicmaq22k

craigpberry.bsky.social•67 days ago

The impact assessment also fails to provide analysis for group who will experience the most severe financial hardship - people losing both PIP and UC health

This underlines the need for a proper consultation (7/8)

craigpberry.bsky.social•67 days ago

One of the possible outcomes from this process must be that the government thinks again on the cuts

The case has not been made. The hardship that will be inflicted is too severe. And these reforms will impede the government meeting its social and economic aims (8/8)

craigpberry.bsky.social•67 days ago

Thanks to my outstanding team including @maddyirose.bsky.social @victoria-anns.bsky.social @scollerton.bsky.social @kslharrison.bsky.social @beccastacey.bsky.social for all their work on this!

https://medium.com/@craig.berry/disability-benefit-cuts-will-cause-widespread-hardship-no-questions-asked-cf35ac02c147

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