I guess I shouldn’t be surprised, but it depresses me seeing so many smart people (whom I really respect) beginning to fall for the Agentic AI bullshit. I mean, I see them on here wrestling with their better instincts in real time.
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I suspect it comes down to FOBW (Fear of Being Wrong). The volume of “smart” people making outrageous claims has gotten so loud and so pervasive that I see people who know better doubting themselves in the face of it.
Being willing to admit your errors and shift positions quickly (Strong Opinions Loosely Held) is a virtue in the foresight and technology game.
But when you’ve done the research, talked with experts, reviewed the literature and made the analysis and you are confident in your position, hold fast.
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And it worries me.
But when you’ve done the research, talked with experts, reviewed the literature and made the analysis and you are confident in your position, hold fast.
The only way to do good work in this field is embracing the Willingness to Be Wrong (but Directionally Correct).