Trump’s crazy statements (Greenland, Gaza, remember?) aren’t set in stone. He lashes out, then changes gear *if he has reason to.* Europe needs to show strength now & give 🇺🇦 a winning hand.
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Trump doesn’t like to back losers, he’ll swerve back later *if it’s in his interest.* So make it his interest. Flatten Russia’s economy & arm 🇺🇦 to the teeth. Make Russia the clear losing side.
If you do all that, why the hell do you even need Trump?
It's a huge strategic mistake to make any plans that depend on Trump's cooperation. Assume he's a hostile party and do what you have to do for Ukraine.
Sign contracts for two squadrons of Rafales with a good stock of Meteor AAMs for the Ukrainian Air Force paid for with dirty Russian money and do it this week.
Yes, but we need to manage the russian troyan horses (Hungary and possibly Slovakia) and currently it doesn't look like we can. And we need it quick. When the situation won't change (it will, I hope to the good) my Czech republic comes to this list in the fall.
He seems to clearly want to push the world toward geographic spheres of influence. It explains Greenland, Canada, and Panama (US sphere of dominance), Ukraine/NATO/Europe (leave to Russian sphere), and you don’t hear much from him about protecting Taiwan. All the big powers get to do what they want.
This issue won't be solved by explaining Trump or aligning policy to accommodate his tantrums. We are just weeks, if not days away from the moment in which the financial market understands the implications MAGA foreign policy. If that happens, Americans will need more explanations than anyone else.
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It's a huge strategic mistake to make any plans that depend on Trump's cooperation. Assume he's a hostile party and do what you have to do for Ukraine.
The no regrets policy is to assume the US are out of the picture.
Let’s speak it out clearly as it is: Putin owns Trump.
Let‘s just think from this perspective.
Not bragging about it a year in advance.
Not giving Russians time to adapt meanwhile.