The number of legally-eligible Americans who would lose healthcare coverage due to the House GOP budget bill is somewhere between ~15.9 million (CBO estimate) and ~46.0 million (total current combined enrollment in ACA exchange plans + Medicaid via ACA expansion). acasignups.net/25/05/23/sta... - ThreadSky

charlesgaba.com • 18 days ago

The number of legally-eligible Americans who would lose healthcare coverage due to the House GOP budget bill is somewhere between ~15.9 million (CBO estimate) and ~46.0 million (total current combined enrollment in ACA exchange plans + Medicaid via ACA expansion).

https://acasignups.net/25/05/23/state-state-46-million-americans-whose-healthcare-threatened-gops-budget-bill

Comments

rjinill-annoy.bsky.social•18 days ago

Bullshit. FUCK that christofascist!!

blake105.bsky.social•18 days ago

As someone who worked in NYS Medicaid, there are also a lot of individuals who are eligible and do not apply. But - why ask about that MSM?

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

Yeah, that's been a problem for a long time...according to @kff.org, around 1/4 of those currently uninsured are legally eligible for Medicaid/CHIP but haven't enrolled for various reasons. Another 1/3 are eligible for ACA tax credits (although that's going to drop a lot ifIRA subsidies expire).

markalancarlson.bsky.social•18 days ago

phbehnken1234.bsky.social•18 days ago

That's a pretty big spread! In other words, something around 10% of legally-eligible Americans will lose their healthcare coverage if the House GOP budget bill passes. Plus, such a big loss of pts will weaken the entire medical infrastructure (hosps, phys, PTs) nationwide. Rural/poor cities first.

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

Here's the most recent version of the CBO projections I know of, which include the assumption that Republicans also allow the improved IRA ACA subsidies to expire at the end of 2025.

https://acasignups.net/25/05/23/cbos-latest-medicaidmassacre-projection-159m-losing-coverage-when-combined-wira-subsidy

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

Of course, CBO projections go out 10 years, so if Democrats manage to win a trifecta in 2028, repeal/reverse some/all of the bill, reinstate the IRA subsidies/etc, then the number losing coverage would drop significantly, in which case Republicans would use that to argue that "the CBO was wrong."

bloodhounder.bsky.social•18 days ago

This reasoning is why I am so ambivalent about pushing to stop the bad things happening. Months ago, the thought was “let MAGA burn it down & they’ll finally understand what they voted for”.

hollyquick.bsky.social•18 days ago

Yes. So Dems must explain this!

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

It's also worth noting that practically ALL 46 MILLION will be burdened with either having to fill out MASSIVE amounts of red tape/paperwork on a regular basis *or* MASSIVE spikes in their premiums, deductibles and/or co-pays *or* both even if they don't actually lose healthcare coverage entirely.

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

For instance, in Alabama, no one on Medicaid via ACA expansion will lose it because they never expanded it in the first place. HOWEVER, there's ~470,000 Alabamans who WILL be hit with MASSIVE premium hikes who'll have to decide how to deal with them.

https://acasignups.net/ira-subsidy-expiration/al

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

For example:

--A single 50-yr old earning $40K/yr's premiums would jump from $153/mo to $258/mo for the same plan.

--A single parent earning $50K/yr would go from $157/mo to $299/mo.

--A 64-yr old couple earning $90K/yr would have to pay $25,000 MORE PER YEAR for the same coverage.

rjinill-annoy.bsky.social•18 days ago

They WANT us all dead.

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

In some cases they'll have to downgrade to a worse plan with higher deductibles, higher co-pays, a worse provider network, etc...which may STILL have higher premiums.

In other cases they'll have to drop coverage entirely & hope to get a job w/employer coverage, or move to a "junk plan."

starfishdancing.bsky.social•18 days ago

That would be a great reason for CB0 to be wrong!

rkfatheree.bsky.social•18 days ago

What about ACA rules for private insurance? What happens to people with pre-existing conditions. Will policies return to lifetime caps?

maggyw.bsky.social•18 days ago

They didn’t repeal the ACA law as such.

snuggzz4121.bsky.social•18 days ago

Healthcare will be the least of our concerns when we have no laws governing corruption.

PRIORITIZE!!! He's trying to make stopping him impossible!!!! No legal recourse!!!!

theeruthie.bsky.social•18 days ago

😱

msottalie.bsky.social•18 days ago

With a straight face. 😐

hoopsdiva.bsky.social•18 days ago

I'm also worried about Medicare changes (increases in premiums, reductions in reimbursement/coverage, limits on eligibility, etc.) What happens when PayGo forces major cuts?

alilnightmusing.bsky.social•18 days ago

Is this guy hoping the pain won’t happen until he’s no longer in office, or does he just not care? Or both?

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

I mean honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the GOP literally just ignores those mandatory cuts entirely; it's not like they give a shit about the law anyway.

Having said that, I'm not sure how that would play out; the PAYGO rules don't clarify HOW the $ has to be cut, just that it does.

betsy-cazden.bsky.social•18 days ago

The only way to make sense of the resolute "no one will lose coverage" is if they really mean "no one *who we consider worthy of coverage* would lose it." To them, undocumented people (who they believe/insist are millions of Medicaid recipients), non-working adults, etc. don't count as "anyone."

charlesgaba.com•18 days ago

Right. They also claim that "only those not legally eligible" will lose coverage when the only reason they WON'T be "legally eligible" IN THE FUTURE is BECAUSE they're passing this bill.

Comments

Posting Rules

Reply