And it doesn't look like his opponent sucked either.
The previous Dem had no GOP opponent in 2024, but in 2022 they won by 20.1 points, so this is still a massive overperformance no matter how you slice it.
He had the endorsements of many prominent Republicans in the state. I'd honestly never heard of him, but he seems like the ideal Republican candidate for this district. https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61575100603530#
Using @the-downballot.com data it looks like this brings Dems 2025 avg. Special Election overperformance up to 16.5 points across 23 races, which is awesome (the last one in NY was a special case but still).
There has been a realignment of low propensity, low information voters supporting Republicans and higher educated, high propensity voters supporting Democrats. Guess which ones vote in special elections.
Comments
That's a Dem overperformance of 36.1 points.
The previous Dem had no GOP opponent in 2024, but in 2022 they won by 20.1 points, so this is still a massive overperformance no matter how you slice it.
https://bsky.app/profile/daviddarmofal.bsky.social/post/3lqqlht6ve22n
https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61575100603530#
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1JGk1r1VXnxBrAIVHz1C5HTB5jxCO6Zw4QNPivdhyWHw/htmlview#gid=415249345
#FLORIDA: SD-19, HD-003 & HD-032
#OKLAHOMA: HD-071 & HD-074
#MASSACHUSETTS: HD-Bris03
DONATE TODAY!! #Blue25
https://secure.actblue.com/donate/specials25-26
More elections every week!
Dumbocrats should’ve NEVER LOST another election after POTUS40