There are a lot of possibilities falling out of this latest conflict, but it seems to me a fair number of them hasten, rather than delay, an Iranian nuclear weapon.
But we won't know we're on that path until someone detects a successful nuclear test, at which point it will be too late.
But we won't know we're on that path until someone detects a successful nuclear test, at which point it will be too late.
Reposted from
Ankit Panda
CNN, citing a DIA assessment: "The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months" www.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...
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They've been basically hovering at something like a 12-24 month 'nuclear breakout' time for a decade.
So in terms of non-proliferation, that plan was more or less working.