It’s also my understanding that most nuclear tasks under “BARER” OPLAN are (mostly) dedicated for Blackjacks while Bears are dedicated for MRAU/MAU. Ukraine has avoided targeting Blackjacks, so it has not critically undermined Russian nuclear contingency planning from that perspective either.
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Reposted from Fabian Hoffmann
Hi all,

I published my latest newsletter post earlier today, analyzing to what extent Operation Spiderweb may have undermined Russia's strategic nuclear deterrent. Spoiler: Not by much.

You can access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/did-ukrain...

Short summary below.

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