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adamisacson.com
He/Him. I work on security, borders, and migration at the Washington Office on Latin America (my views, not necessarily theirs). I'm also at wola.org, adamisacson.com, borderoversight.org, Mastodon elefanti.co/@adam
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The administration first claimed this military authority to "temporarily detain" civilians on US soil at the border, April 21 (left): www.northcom.mil/Newsroom/Pre... And this week in Los Angeles (right): www.northcom.mil/Newsroom/New...

My plea to the Washington DC weather gods: the more politicized and polarizing tomorrow is, the more thorough the drenching should be. Professional and upbeat? Let them have sun. But at the first "fake news," "Newscum," or "immigrant invasion," let the heavens burst forth with a cleansing deluge.

From @gregsargent.bsky.social—As Stephen Miller pushes ICE to meet insane arrest quotas, we’ll see: - more images of respected, hardworking people and families seized by masked agents - an ever-deepening impact on the tight US labor market - swing-district Republicans’ seats becoming more vulnerable

In this week's @wola-org.bsky.social Border Update: - Troops deployed to Los Angeles as “mass deportations” trigger protests - Kilmar Abrego Garcia is back in the US—but in a Tennessee jail - Travel ban added to list of crackdowns, many of which remain in court

What to make of the “immigration” curve (red)? Disapproval is back where it was when Abrego García was receiving heavy news coverage. But why did it recover and spend May-June in positive territory, even as fresh scary video of masked ICE agents grabbing people emerged almost every day?

On the windowsill this morning, watching me edit today's Border Update #squirrel

"The Court is troubled by the implication inherent in Defendants’ argument that protest against the federal government, a core civil liberty protected by the First Amendment, can justify a finding of rebellion."

Venezuelan prisoners in El Salvador's CECOT have slightly better conditions, like pillows, blankets, and fast food, according to this *Time* piece by Eric Cortellessa and Brian Bennett. time.com/7291757/trum... But even in that, there is no kindness:

From me: “At @wola-org.bsky.social, we work to defend human rights, democracy, the rule of law, and healthy civil-military relations throughout the Western Hemisphere. We didn't anticipate needing to point out the same threats to the military’s democratic neutrality here at home. But here we are.”

The whole "3,000 ICE arrests per day" thing is _exactly_ about arresting "good long time workers": there just aren't enough CRIMINALS to arrest. So maybe walk down the hall and have a chat with Stephen Miller instead of posting.

We need more senators who (a) have the courage to do this and (b) have so much vigor that it takes 4 burly goons to budge them

*furiously googling "lifestyle adjustments I can make now to still be lucid at age 79"*

Border Patrol has joined other federal security forces in covering agents' faces while they operate. I work on security in Latin America and have seen the face-covering trend spread for years. But I never thought I'd see it in the US, where violent crime rates are a fraction.

While I was slicing up bits of video for this thread/post, we got confirmation that the commanding officers at Fort Bragg set this up deliberately. This should be career-ending for those responsible. If not, it's "game over" for even the appearance of an apolitical, democratic military in the US.

What happened at Fort Bragg yesterday is very grave. Boos and catcalls from uniformed Army personnel responding to Trump's goading have almost no precedent in US history and would be unusual in most of Latin America. Listen to the troops boo the free press as Trump calls reporters “the fake news.”

From @wola-org.bsky.social on #Colombia: "It is welcome that President Petro has ordered increased security for members of the opposition, but it would be better if he promoted respectful and constructive dialogue to find solutions to political issues where there are disagreements."

The letter is a DHS "Request for Assistance" from DOD, which triggers the complex approval process diagrammed here by Congressional Research Service: apps.dtic.mil/sti/trecms/p...

Before heading into work, some quick notes about the military in Los Angeles. After 30+ years of observing civil-military relations in Latin America, let there be no doubt that this is a pivotal moment for the US. www.adamisacson.com/crossing-a-t...

Troops "will not patrol US streets or try to detain protesters to assist police," while "their guns will not have ammunition loaded in the chamber" and "they will not use rubber bullets or pepper spray, either." This all changes if the White House invokes the Insurrection Act. From ABC News:

Join us tomorrow if you're in Washington; the topic of this panel could hardly be more timely:

In Colombia, the military's role was pretty limited during big 2021 nationwide protests. The Inter-American HR Commission recalled that the country's jurisprudence states: "the military could only be activated to protect social demonstrations, not to control them or contain them." bit.ly/4jJPJEa

To send Marines—regular military, not Guard—into LA, the admin may try to rely on weasel language: what this thread calls "an inherent constitutional right to protect federal personnel and property." …Or the admin might "go nuclear," invoking the Insurrection Act for the first time since 1992.

What’s the deal here? The law invoked puts Newsom in the chain of command, and he doesn’t want this.

Here is the authority the linked White House memo is invoking for this very unusual and very dangerous domestic use of the armed forces against public protest. Title 10 US Code section 12406. www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

Using the military to confront domestic public protest is a dangerous threshold that the US has rarely crossed in the last 150 years. It is hard to reverse the armed forces’ politicization once it starts. Soldiers are trained for combat. They are not police. They are not a crowd control force.