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alexpghayes.com
incoming postdoc @ stanford + assistant prof @ oregon state. networks, causal inference, contagion, measurement error, #rstats. he/him https://www.alexpghayes.com
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I'm looking for methods to visualize signed graphs with ~100 nodes and lots of negative edges So far the best I've come across is in {signnet} but I'm hoping I can find some other options github.com/schochastics...

link 📈🤖 Interpretable sensitivity analysis for the Baron-Kenny approach to mediation with unmeasured confounding (Zhang, Ding) Mediation analysis assesses the extent to which the exposure affects the outcome indirectly through a mediator and the extent to which it operates directly through other

Enjoying this conceptual paper on when/why predictive models can achieve causal goals

#dataviz #rstats Least squares by Springs: Here's a remarkable diagram, from 1932, illustrating a mechanical device to fit an exponential relation, y = A e^{-k x}, to data, here y= the milk yield of cows over x = 11 months. From: Gaines & Palfrey www.jstor.org/stable/1658643 ⬇️

So causalfusion.net and dagitty.net are great to check if controls C are sufficient to estimate the total effect of A on Y without needing to check backdoor paths yourself These tools can also algorithmically check if direct and indirect effects mediated by some M are identified!

Measuring the dynamical evolution of the United States lobbying network arxiv.org/abs/2503.11745

If you want to browse academic work without accidentally doom scrolling I cannot recommend this feed enough

Have anytime-valid methods made their way into empirical metascience yet? I'm thinking of them as a way to look for sampling to a foregone conclusion in published work

Learn how to use grouped tabsets and the Tabby extension in #Quarto to write documentation for both #RStats & #Python users! Read about grouped tabsets and the Tabby extension here: posit.co/blog/creatin...

Sunset across Lake Mendota in Madison

I want to understand recent developments in recsys land It seems like contrastive learning is the big thing now? Does this reflect an evolving class of models or just a slight evolution of negative sampling to address computational burden of large data?

Please apply, this project involves quite a bit of fun work on combining data from observational studies with randomized trials to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects!

HelioCampus is hiring! We have openings for data scientists and data analysts. www.heliocampus.com/company/care... I'm the hiring manager for the data scientist role, and we're specifically looking for someone with experience working with student data in the higher ed industry.

Does anyone have a favorite field experiment (or A/B test) with public data where there is outcome data over time, ideally something like daily data or even timestamped events? This is a common format in industry, but few public data sets look like this.

Enjoying Kino Zhao's recent HDSR paper on a way to think about statistical assumptions I'm also pleased that a stats venue is publishing this kind of work hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/qasl4fza...