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carlislerainey.bsky.social
political scientist at FSU; experimental design, inference (frequentist and Bayesian), metascience Web: https://www.carlislerainey.com Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=otXLf3
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Zack Elkins (@zachelkins.bsky.social) compiled a wonderful collection of perspectives on academic writing (esp. as a political scientists). I use it often. His page: sites.google.com/site/zachelk... I made a backup here as well, so nothing is lost: github.com/carlislerain...

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Currently in FirstView: In “The Limits (and Strengths) of Single-Topic Experiments,” @scottclifford.bsky.social & @carlislerainey.bsky.social examine the generalizability of single-topic studies, focusing on how often confidence intervals capture treatment effects from a larger population of studies

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

I'm heading the Methodology section for #SPSA2026 Jan 14-17 in New Orleans. I want to recruit an awesome set of papers and panels. The deadline is Sep 1, but think about coming to New Orleans, realize you can't miss this opportunity, and put it on the calendar right now.

submitted 10 days ago • 1 comment

Theorizing as Problem-Solving “We provide a practical tool for developing research programs in a recursive five-phase approach…” New article by Bhardwaj and colleagues: www.researchgate.net/profile/Akhi...

submitted 13 days ago • 1 comment

Data and Code Availability in Political Science Publications from 1995 to 2022 feat @carlislerainey.bsky.social #MetaScience doi.org/10.1017/S104... Insightful descriptive analysis showing code and data availability increases exponentially. In absolute terms, availabilty is modest at best w 31% 1/

submitted 13 days ago • 1 comment

Paper by @carlislerainey.bsky.social @harleyroe.bsky.social Qing Wang and Hao Zhou shows increase of data and code availability in polsci from 1995 to 2022 has reached 31%. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

Also, this new paper came out since the last time I was posting about this. Worth a read. www.cambridge.org/core/journal... CC: @carolyneholmes.bsky.social, @mkguliford.bsky.social, @mjurkovich.bsky.social

submitted 26 days ago • 3 comments

New visualization tool alert! The vayr package version 1.0.0 is now on CRAN. It contains position adjustments for ggplot2 that help with overplotting in pleasing ways. My favorite is position_sunflower(). - install.packages("vayr") - alexandercoppock.com/vayr #rstats #ggplot2 #dataviz

submitted 26 days ago • 4 comments

What are your favorite papers that make descriptive claims (as opposed to causal claims)? I'm thinking of papers in the spirit of Gerring's "Mere Description." www.cambridge.org/core/journal... I put a couple of examples below. What else do you like?

submitted 26 days ago • 20 comments

This looks great --- earlier research on whether pre-post designs attenuate treatment effects was underpowered. This study finds modest attenuation.

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

Friends don't let friends run survey experiments that don't measure outcomes pre-treatment

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

Gave a talk to our PhD students today, and feeling appreciative of all the recent methods work on improving common practices. Thanks to all the authors who work to make their work accessible, especially on social media. A few articles we discussed:

submitted 35 days ago • 9 comments

Very important, thorough, and careful new paper strengthens Clifford, Sheagley, and Piston's (2021, APSR) evidence that pre-post designs don't attenuate treatment effects very much relative to the shrinkage in the standard errors. Measure outcomes before and after the treatment!

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

Suppose a PhD student is giving a high-stakes, 60-minute presentation on a technical topic. They need to create a slide deck that includes both math and code. What software (or combinations of software) do you recommend?

submitted 40 days ago • 3 comments

Future Self: "Hey Past Self, how to I make my terminal prompt be 𝚌𝚞𝚛𝚛𝚎𝚗𝚝-𝚍𝚒𝚛𝚎𝚌𝚝𝚘𝚛𝚢 > instead of the default mess? Now Self: 👇 www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-03...

submitted 41 days ago • 0 comments

This is a really thoughtful take on my recent @jepsjournal.bsky.social paper. Carlisle looks at my 7 Alternative Explanations from a statistical power perspective—highly recommend!!! Thank you, Carlisle!

submitted 54 days ago • 0 comments

Some new data in on support for political aggression and violence... First, we asked people who they think is doing the most harm in American politics. Clear agreement among Democrats but more variation among Republicans - and some surprising responses.

submitted 54 days ago • 4 comments

some quick notes "Kane (2025) as a Power Paper" Kane (2025) makes several suggestions for compelling null results. These also help us maximize statistical power. www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-03...

submitted 54 days ago • 1 comment