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“US intelligence assessments had reached a different conclusion—not only was Iran not actively pursuing a nuclear weapon, it was also up to three years away from being able to produce and deliver one…according to four people familiar with the assessment” www.cnn.com/2025/06/17/p...

submitted 6 hours ago • 1 comment

Good @nktpnd.bsky.social thread on why Trump's irresponsible posting is so scary, whatever he may or may not have decided. The enemy gets a vote.

submitted 15 hours ago • 1 comment

Every day the IDF are slaughtering civilians seeking food. Day on, day out, slaughter.

submitted 20 hours ago • 1 comment

Warning over risk to endangered birds' nests from dogs www.rte.ie/news/regiona... Don't assume you can let your dog loose if there are no sheep. Keep your dog on a leash in woods, wetlands, heath, bog and mountains. It is uncultivated land but its only wild if you're not destroying nesting grounds.

submitted 22 hours ago • 1 comment

This seems right to me.

submitted 22 hours ago • 2 comments

Beyond the abuse of the word deterrence, and recognising the utter shit show in US diplomacy and military administration, it is a bit rich to be faulting anyone in the WH for not having the amassed forces of the US in the Persian Gulf to protect the belligerent launching a war with no co-ordination.

submitted 23 hours ago • 0 comments

I see John Bolton is available to spread democracy or monarchy or something.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

LOL “Counterproliferation Gazelle” Israel seems pretty damned maximalist if were trying to get Trump to sign off on assassinating Supreme Leader. That is not something one does if one expects to negotiate w/existing regime ffs.

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

As my colleague @liorsternfeld.bsky.social says, bombing the national TV station is classic regime change move.

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

Deterring whom? Very hard for some to accept who the aggressor is.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Arab officials in touch with both the US and Iran tell Middle East Eye that the White House appears to be moving closer to ‘backing up’ Israel directly on the battlefield.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Tankers last night, CVNs today. War is going to expand

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Two things are true. 1. This is militarily impressive and significantly enhances Israel's ability to limit damage to itself in a conventional war. 2. In a nuclear war, this level of damage limitation wouldn't feel at all meaningful.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

This isn't a nuclear site. The Israeli campaign isn't against the nuclear site infrastructure. And it isn't a SAM site protecting that infrastructure. They're engaged in a regime decapitation campaign.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

That the person is known and prominent is a bit awks...

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Armada Of USAF Tankers Just Deployed East Over Atlantic Spurring Speculation www.twz.com/air/armada-o... There is only so much stealth technology can do to hide posture when your tanker fleet has to shift.

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

What's your sign?

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

America is returning to the issuing of company scrip...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

oh man

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

I’m increasingly worried the plan here is to project Syria’s fate onto Iran. I have doubts they succeed, but the kind of regime change war Israel is embarking on is one that prioritizes a broken, weak Iran over any particular political or ideological character.

submitted 3 days ago • 4 comments

Do Americans understand that Israel's plan is to have them fight a war against Iran on their behalf?

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Israel has unleashed a horror show.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Latest live footage from Al Jazeera is showing huge plumes of smoke rising from Tel Aviv after explosions were heard.

submitted 3 days ago • 15 comments

An international nuclear non-proliferation policy disaster.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Iranian regime self-preservation instincts appear not to have been sharpened by the Hezbollah degradation campaign. A lot of obvious targets being caught in the open. A weird dynamic that the IDF might over-achieve on weakening or preventing response, and thus the US do not get drawn in.

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

Mobsterism as international relations

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Looks like the Israelis are now hitting targets around Tabriz. Like the pager attacks against Hezbollah, yesterday night was the start of a rolling assault, not a one-off.

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

Adobe just telling me I can never quit the subscription to them, ever, and making some assumptions about my laptop upgrade cycle.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

The US being drawn into a widespread war is the Israeli plan.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

This is a total disaster for US nonproliferation policy that, by withdrawing from the JCPOA in 2018, Trump owns completely.

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

The United States destroyed the Iranian nuclear deal Israel launched a war. They are 100% responsible for this. And their voters picked these miserable tyrants as leaders willingly and freely, because they are violent and dysfunctional countries.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

A note on this: Israel is calling this operation a "preemptive" one; this is incorrect. It is preventive (which is illegal under international law). Netanyahu himself suggested Iran was "months" to "a year" away from a nuclear weapon capability in his speech announcing the operation.

submitted 4 days ago • 13 comments

They are killing the negotiators.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Israeli military strikes Iran nuclear targets; Revolutionary Guard Corps vow revenge after commander killed – live www.theguardian.com/world/live/2... I knew they'd do it. They couldn't resist. What a disaster.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Another angle of Senator Padilla's confrontation with Kristi Noem here via FoxNews:

submitted 4 days ago • 22 comments

Apart a physical assault on a fucking US Senator, she is literally describing the use of the US Marines as to "liberate" the city from the Mayor of the City and the Governor of the State. Wildly fascist breakdown in US governance. Not constitutional backsliding, actual collapse.

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

Not welcome news....

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

If you see direct participation by a member of the Marine Corps in a search, seizure, arrest, or other similar LE activity you're in a very bad place. Guessing dismantling JAGs is going to have an effect here.

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

700 marines. I read that a Marines battalion had 10 to 16 snipers. I'm sure they'll just be doing recon...

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

mournful fiddle plays Sound of pen scratching on paper Ken Burns voice "My sweet and resolute Abilene. I close my eyes and see your face. I see your warm eyes scan netflix menus and without turning, your hand reach and rest on mine. The men are cold and hungry, and in our wordless hearts... "

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments