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dingdingpeng.the100.ci
Personality psych & causal inference @UniLeipzig. I like all things science, beer, & puns. Even better when combined! Part of http://the100.ci, http://openscience-leipzig.org
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A lesson here, perhaps, is that measurement comes first. It's trivial to speculate, "hey, here is this unexplored aspect of biology, perhaps it explains x". But the instead we get 50 narrative reviews of such tantalizing ideas before even the most fundamental aspect of science is sorted. Measurement

Now officially out with nice formatting and all 🥳 "Thinking clearly about age, period, and cohort effects" -- a gentle introduction to the age-period-cohort problem and how to "solve" it through various types of assumptions. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Yesterday my son pretended he was installing an update on his toy cash register. He just sat there and waited for a bit. Today, my daughter pretended she worked in a store that only sold high protein foods. I think they’re good to go 👌🏽

Barney_straight_into_my_veins.gif osf.io/preprints/ps...

💡 Very excited to announce new features: better interactive maps! 🗺️ – Enhanced country/region selection with several sorting options and a bar chart preview – Selecting a country highlights it and shows its value on the map – Zooming to your selection brings up a 3D globe view 🌍

nice addition to {marginaleffects} that I look forward to finding an excuse to use - bootstrapping in R often feels like more pain than it's worth

I think I prefer cutting 5 -- I'm likely not going to believe you just based on the abstract -- to make space for more details regarding methods and results. Abstracts that just say "we find associations between X and Y" drive me nuts (which direction? what magnitude? is it causal???).

Say you have a simple multilevel model: y ~ 1 + (1 | group). What references are there to say (or contend with) the mean of the group-level means (group-level intercepts) is the same as the population mean (population-level intercept)?

New open-access data for econ nerds: Causal Claims in Economics 🔓 250k+ claims made in 45k papers and 69 variable over 1980-2024. Now free to download. 🥳 Details below

Preparing a seminar session on happiness economics and I'm once again reminded how liberating it is to be in charge of what I tell students. I can just decide what I think is important for them to know (methods >> individual studies) and then pick examples that are interesting.

what if more expensive but worse

The Causal Bandits episode with me is finally up! We talked about a hodge-podge of causal inference and methods issues. I already got one positive testimonial from my boss who listened to the first half and liked it!

When the good soy milk isn’t available and the only remaining options all actually taste like soy

And if social media has ruined your attention span, here’s a blog post on the matter www.the100.ci/2025/03/20/r...