engelcap.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

#BoJ forced to slow down its tapering to support #JGB market may delay the rate hike further aliciagarciaherrero.substack.com/p/boj-forced...

submitted 23 hours ago • 0 comments

Are we great yet?

submitted 14 days ago • 3179 comments

New Dynare working paper by Stéphane Adjemian and Michel Juillard, which describes and evaluates the stochastic extended path method implemented in Dynare www.dynare.org/wp-repo/dyna...

submitted 41 days ago • 1 comment

I was deeply honored to meet President Zelensky via Zoom when he asked me to become an ambassador for UNITED24 to raise funds for surveillance drones. I'm proud to have walked this road with @u24.gov.ua to support the sovereign nation of 🇺🇦 & so grateful to all who have donated! 🙏❤️👍 #SlavaUkraine

submitted 43 days ago • 293 comments

Recession negative gdp

submitted 48 days ago • 2 comments

Conference board expectations index plummeted to 54.4 All eight states and the us are likely now in recession This is disastrous politically for Trump and GOP

submitted 49 days ago • 2 comments

Opening the week in #Asia for @BloombergTV with comments on #Fed, #Mar-a-Lago #Accord, #China and #trade war. Trump blinking first, in my view!. www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/...

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

The 4th Dynare Workshop for Advanced Users will take place in person from 17-19 September 2025 at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra (Italy). It aims at discussing experiences regarding advanced features and expert use of Dynare. www.dynare.org/events/dynar...

submitted 90 days ago • 0 comments

In case you missed it..

submitted 94 days ago • 0 comments

Good news for researchers - don't miss out! We just launched a pilot project @ecb.europa.eu to share anonymised data on bank balance sheets and interest rates for loans and deposits in the euro area. 1/2 www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/dat...

submitted 96 days ago • 2 comments

I cannot agree, as economists we never said that there will be a recession under Biden, a premise I professionally refuted. Many amongst us predicted a probability of a recession due to the monetary policy tightening by the Fed in its combat to bring inflation down to its 2% target, eg soft landing

submitted 99 days ago • 0 comments

The Heritage Foundation is now planning to destroy the EU - with the help of Polish and Hungarian partners vsquare.org/heritage-fou...

submitted 100 days ago • 141 comments

Mes réflexions pour Les Echo Investir : "J'interprète cela comme 'nous avons besoin de baisser les prix mais nous allons continuer d'exporter dans cet environnement déflationniste car la #Chine se doit d'exporter peu importe les droits de douane en place'. " investir.lesechos.fr/marches-indi...

submitted 103 days ago • 0 comments

Trump/Vance’s move away from Ukraine is not just revisionism. It is something more insidious—a calculated reprogramming of the public mind, where virtue is punished, loyalty is submission, and the greatest sin is defying the leader’s chosen reality. Reminds me of Silvio Berlusconi

submitted 108 days ago • 3 comments

It was a pleasure to welcome participants to our Annual Bank of England Agenda for Research Conference this week on the theme of “The Future of Central Bank Balance Sheet”. Thanks to the chairs, presenters, discussants & participants for attending! Programme: www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/...

submitted 109 days ago • 0 comments

An excellent answer to the moron for POTUS who quite causally queried if Spain were a member of the BRICS. Insults thrown at the EU27 might be beyond insolent, yet fabricating another conspiracy on top of the existing pile of fatuous twists and lies is becoming odiously predictable

submitted 110 days ago • 0 comments

Yesterday I delivered a speech with the title “No longer convenient? Safe asset abundance and r*” at the @bankofengland.bsky.social's #2025BEARconference. Let me summarise the main messages in a 🧵. 1/16

submitted 112 days ago • 2 comments

I invite everyone to read Professor Krugman’s incredible substack, emphasising both the unworkability as well as the very pointlessness of the Concept-of-a-plan Administration, whose only victory has so far been to emerge as a monopolistic disinformation enterprise #paulkrugman

submitted 115 days ago • 0 comments

Trump's "plan" is both depraved and unworkable paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-belgian-...

submitted 118 days ago • 30 comments

After today’s cognidiss festivities on Bloomberg, you’re missing on the “Resenting Europeans for dirisking from China and refusing to trade off their dependencies with the Chinese with freshly baked American ones! They dare hedging their loans to Ukraine! It’s all their fault!” Got you covered :)

submitted 117 days ago • 0 comments

As we can no longer be confident that our monetary policy is restrictive, the direction of travel is less clear, Executive Board member @isabelschnabel.bsky.social tells @financialtimes.com. We are nearing the point where we may need to pause or halt our rate cuts. www.ecb.europa.eu/press/inter/...

submitted 118 days ago • 2 comments

Windräder sind hässlich, Herr Merz? Also mir fallen da eine Menge hässlichere Dinge ein… und die sind auch noch schlecht für Umwelt- und Klima.

submitted 125 days ago • 2 comments

Updated estimates of the euro area natural interest rate remain broadly unchanged since the end of 2023 following a modest post-pandemic increase, our latest #EconomicBulletin finds. Read more here www.ecb.europa.eu/press/econom...

submitted 130 days ago • 1 comment

We got a message from the university to remove any use of the "DEI", "diversity", "equity", or "inclusion" from all public-facing documents. They said that even "biodiversity" is being flagged by the federal government. We live in the dumbest timeline.

submitted 127 days ago • 912 comments

SUNDAY'S FUNDAY QUIZ! I am in the UK to promote DreamWorks' critically-acclaimed new animated movie: THE [ ] ROBOT A) RILED B) CHILD C) REVILED D) MILD E) None of the above Answer: E It's actually The WILD Robot- wonderful for ALL ages & currently at 97% on Rotten Tomatoes!!! 👀 ♥️ 👍

submitted 142 days ago • 1537 comments

Watch out for another trip back from Heathrow if Liz is voted in. Economics likes the devil it knows over a clueless amateur…. Plus this from sept 2 warning of what was coming three weeks later stupid blind bloody moron www.standard.co.uk/business/tim...

submitted 159 days ago • 3 comments

Out of sight, out of mind. I invite folks to try it and promise, he’ll start looking so small and insignificant

submitted 193 days ago • 0 comments

submitted 201 days ago • 936 comments