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gatecrasher.bsky.social
Quantitative Trader::Futures/Options | Films/SciFi | 🍕 | Life - not necessarily in that order. math+quant+coding=capitalist tools. China policy observer. Nerdy but some people say I’m pretty handsome. Ok, no one really said that. Did I already mention 🍕?
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Musk vs orange man = 🍿🥤

Good grief—orange man is taking everything Elizabeth Warren said about the debt ceiling out of context in order to eliminate it. Folks, if the debt ceiling is erased credit markets will absolutely crater, with gold and Bitcoin mooning beyond the stars

The state of the US-China trade tensions wrapped up in a minute... youtube.com/shorts/WZTUA...

✔️ USDC ❌ USDT

Bitcoin is approaching a level where I would reverse short positions and go long again. #BTC

I hope that @reallynalden.bsky.social starts to post on Bluesky with frequency. Her coverage on the economy and markets is respected by so many and her perspectives will make you say "hmmm, I never thought about that".

China’s EV industry is dynamic and so far ahead of the game compared to its western counterparts. But BYD’s price war initiation was a shot across the bow within the country and could precede an industry implosion there. Will have broader implications worldwide.

I’m not saying it’s gonna happen but don’t be surprised if 10 and 30 year Treasury rates go above 6%. Just be prepared if it does.

When the Slate electric truck was announced I was pretty excited. Now I’m absolutely giddy. I can’t wait. youtu.be/wCTGX8XkOvQ?...

The bond market will ALWAYS make the stock market it’s bitch

I’m thoroughly enjoying SILO and Rebecca Ferguson on AppleTV+

Private credit - this is the market that’s been getting so much coverage over the past year. Hedge funds were jumping all over it and retail investors wanted in, lured by high double digit returns. But the current environment could see this sector completely implode.

It’s late Sunday. Stock futures up. Bond yields up. There can only be one.

Happy Mother's Day to all the hardworking mamas!

Looking at options liquidity over the last two weeks—options positions, quantities and the hedging needed by market makers—has me very worried.

Reflective of Wall Street's action today, traders obviously think the so-called tariff deal with the UK is a joke.

The orange man didn’t make pope. Wondering how long it’ll take for him to message that the election/conclave was rigged.

Of course we are.

At a time when China is desperately trying to court international investment amid all the chaos this is not going to help their situation. www.wsj.com/world/china/...

If you believe Fed will lower rates this week you’re bullish. I’m neutral, leaning towards no change. But if JPow does lower this market could take off. Rates will overshadow the tariff situation for the next two days

This week be a wild ride. The GEX gamma exposure is slightly positive but the markets could retest last month lows. Don’t be caught with your pants down.

Stock of the year so far, folks... #webull #lol

It's reported that about 60% of Coachella tickets were purchased via buy-now-pay-later. So many takeaways from that one statement. #BNPL

Tesla first quarter earnings was pretty much a FAFO moment for Elon

Heavy gamma exposure for SPY is at 500 strike even after today’s market slide. If you’re biased on the long side stay cautious and limit your losses.

After today's financial news, hard to avoid conclusion that a nasty recession is on the way, probably has already begun.

The Electric State - I actually enjoyed it more than I thought I would. 6.5/10

You must watch Patrick’s latest video IN ITS ENTIRETY.

This week could still see volatility as the macro environment is still searching for direction AND we have tech earnings season in full swing. Stay sharp!

I will always repost 🍕

The realities of the Bitcoin crowd...

At this rate, people are just gonna give up...

Hasn’t been covered extensively YET, but watch for a possible collapse of the private credit market if the macro headwinds hasn’t been sorted out in the near term. Junk bonds to follow closely.

If you’re an investor or trader, active or passive, understanding RISK is paramount for any measure of success in the markets (ALL markets, not just stocks). This video by Howard Marks should be required viewing

As a trader who’s been in the markets for over 30 years, no three words elicit a cringe from me more than “buy the dip”.

Interest rates on the 10 & 30 year bonds are spiking AGAIN. It’s not just about how high they are but how fast it’s climbed. If you’re long treasuries you’re basically bent over with your pants down.

Show me someone who loves volatility but doesn’t love this stock market #stocks #SPY #ES #QQQ #NQ