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Before everyone prepares for war between Israel and Iran, it's not clear that Iran will be able to mount such a war, given the scope of tonight's attack.

submitted 1 hour ago • 2 comments

Perversely I find a small measure of comfort in seeing that the central prediction of how a Trump admin would operate--through an authoritarian posture--came true. It's in everything from the tariffs to the absurd cabinet appointments and now to militarization. There was no false alarm.

submitted 7 hours ago • 1 comment

Today Lawfare is launching a new tracker, Alien Enemies Act Proclamation: The State of Play The table, created by @rparloff.bsky.social, is following challenges to deportations occurring under the Alien Enemies Act invocation. Find it here: www.lawfaremedia.org/alienenemiestable

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

For anyone who doubts the urgency of Newsom's filing, I would direct them to the WSJ article on ICE's new mission, and tactics. The executive has gone fully extra-judicial, and with full intent to do so.

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

A new class of materials that passively harvests #water from the air. Because science. From a project funded by the US National Science Foundation. blog.seas.upenn.edu/penn-enginee...

submitted 4 days ago • 5 comments

The new Acela trainset in Southampton Yard in South Boston now has a friend 🥹

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

Latest thrill show from UKR special forces: Grain Train.

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

submitted 5 days ago • 10 comments

[NY Post Headline Font] Space-Ex!

submitted 7 days ago • 3 comments

Incredible ruling from Boasberg in which he calls upon Kafka, that's right, Franz Kafka, to illustrate the indefensible catch-22 tactics ICE, DOJ, and DHS have been inflicting on the country. Does literature still matter? Indeed it does.

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

Probably the single most devastating attack on an enemy air capability since the Israelis wiped out Nasser’s entire air force in a matter of hours. (And then proceeded to do the same to his lesser allies)

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

If I know the NYT, this article on SF's newest public park will have elevated a small band of curmudgeons to disproportionate size, in order to craft its story of opposition. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/27/u...

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

When you review the history of the IEEPA, and the Presidents that used it, starting with Carter, the clarity of the US CIT decision yesterday is sharp. The signals coming from the WH also seem to indicate they too may have anticipated getting roadblocked, and are now already on to Plan B.

submitted 14 days ago • 0 comments

So, the most competitive candidate against Cuomo in the NYC primary has rent control as a center piece of policy? It's like both left and right have become enamored more than ever with pre-industrial royal edicts and other It Shall Be Thus commands. How absurd.

submitted 14 days ago • 2 comments

If tariffs keep the fed from cutting, Trump should scrap them and take the rate cuts. US would save $280b annually w/ a 1 pp decline in its avg rate. Stocks could soar and cap gains taxes could kick in. Foreigners would really “pay” about 1/3rd, unlike the fake claim of their tariff payments.

submitted 14 days ago • 21 comments

Someone needs to bring a big arena rock sized amplifier up in front of the White House and just put sad trombone on infinite loop.

submitted 15 days ago • 128 comments

Actual quotes from the Dallas Fed's monthly manufacturing report: "Business sucks" "DOGE has killed us. Our customers are fighting tariff increases and dramatic funding cuts from USDA and USAID." "We have a large order delayed until 2026." www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...

submitted 15 days ago • 11 comments

I'm not sure the article sufficiently considers the role of economic weakness in emissions decline. In particular, this image would seem to highlight some cyclicality since the peaks (sans cement and coal: other sectors) were all quite recent. www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-cle...

submitted 19 days ago • 2 comments

ACA no doubt acted as a systemic stabilizer in the main, but in the particulars allowed alot of people to go independent for work. When you add in the tariffs, not hard to see how this adds further downward pressure on small/home biz.

submitted 21 days ago • 0 comments

There's been a thesis that the bulk of data center growth would occur here in the US (IEA, etc). But in the aftermath of the House bill, one wonders that we're about to be the worst domain for building new power capacity.

submitted 21 days ago • 0 comments

Reviewing China's Nuclear Generation China has 60.96 GW of nuclear operating & 33.65 GW under construction. China's goal is 110 GW by 2030, making it the global leader in nuclear capacity. China approved at least 10 units in each of last 4 years. #energysky www.neimagazine.com/news/china-a...

submitted 24 days ago • 2 comments

it's simultaneously true that people were overly worried about federal government deficits 10-15 years ago and probably not worried enough about them now

submitted 27 days ago • 2 comments

Based on the exchanges inside SCOTUS today, the vibe I get from Justice Barrett is that she's now had her Gandhi moment.

submitted 28 days ago • 2 comments

While a decline in global oil consumption is entirely off the table for years to come, we are at least in the zone already that can see demand growth convert to a sideways path. www.coldeye.earth/p/large-thing

submitted 30 days ago • 0 comments

Terrific stuff here.

submitted 31 days ago • 0 comments

This scholar from overseas, one of 1.1 million foreign students that the United States is privileged to have at our universities, was seized off the street and imprisoned for six weeks — after she broke ZERO laws, but wrote one op-ed expressing views. And she still believes in America.

submitted 33 days ago • 1 comment

I tip my cap to @talsmith.bsky.social for asking such perfect questions, and thereby obtaining one of the more important interviews of the year. For a number of folks in macro this weekend, this is deliciously revealing. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/10/b...

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

The 55 million acres used to grow corn ethanol and soybean biodiesel in the United States would generate about 22 terawatts.☀️🔌💡

submitted 33 days ago • 3 comments

I just really need everybody to understand that everything that’s happening in and to the global economy now (and all the businesses and people in it) is the entirely predictable result of the intentional decisions of one guy who doesn’t understand how the global economy works.

submitted 33 days ago • 872 comments

The trajectory of energy transition is controlled far more by economic growth, than renewables growth. As I like to say, a small thing growing at a high rate can be quite powerful, until it faces off against a very, very large thing growing at a low rate.

submitted 33 days ago • 1 comment

Must admit I'm no longer clear what diversity means in university admissions. Also unclear universities ever figured this out either. If you tell me Princeton's undergraduate population is due to be 60% Asian by the year 2040 - through connection to over 40 countries - how is that not diverse?

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

Stellar reporting here on a dark horse trend now emerging in the US: mobile natgas turbine arrays that, under temporary classification, escape enviro regs.

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

Just how small was this week's US-UK trade deal (as currently written)? As these two charts from @JosephPolitano show, very, very small: www.apricitas.io/p/farce-of-t...

submitted 33 days ago • 2 comments

NEW: Rumeysa Ozturk is free from ICE custody. There was a delay as ICE sought to fit her w/ an ankle monitor, prompting a 2nd order from a federal judge clarifying that she was to be released without any monitoring or restrictions. She is with her lawyer; expected to return to Mass. tomorrow.

submitted 34 days ago • 40 comments

Maybe I'm wrong, but I feel like if a US exchange student in a foreign country (say, Turkey?) was imprisoned for six weeks because they wrote an op-ed in the student newspaper it would be a huge domestic story and an international incident.

submitted 34 days ago • 226 comments

Must be quite the scene today at Villanova.

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

If the US established a contractual payment for services rendered with El Salvador, kinda makes it hard to claim that the party to that contract, the US, has no means by which to return Garcia to the US. Just now in Boasberg's courtroom:

submitted 36 days ago • 1 comment

Evidence of Trump's impact is everywhere — except, for the most part, in economic data itself. So forecasters are scouring earnings calls, sifting through obscure indicators and collecting anecdotes to try to suss out where the economy is headed. #EconSky www.nytimes.com/2025/05/07/b...

submitted 36 days ago • 15 comments

Good piece here by Luke. My comment: if we reach back to the 1999 paper by Bernanke, and then consider all that's transpired since, one conclusion is that the Fed should neither raise rates to confront high oil prices, nor cut rates to honor lower oil prices.

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments

As "machines of loving grace" enters common usage ever more regularly, we should also make it practice to cite its author, Richard Brautigan. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/t...

submitted 36 days ago • 0 comments