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huzzahmpls.bsky.social
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Really good post on the "does low turn out now favor the Dems?" fight pathgolden.substack.com/p/gop-rolls-... (answer yes)

Feel like we can retire the hot dog costume meme now.

The average American has three friends

Note the MN seat is in a part of Minnesota that's been treading heavily red since 2016

CBC just called it, what an upset

What's funny is the two examples people love to cite of this particular Green Lantern theory, the ACA and gay marriage, were the exact opposite. The ACA became popular because of concrete benefits not messaging. Gay marriage was about cultural and generational change not some speech Obama gave.

Eh, it's a pretty common Boomer thing to do still

Does he really think nobody has said "Trump is bad!" in the last 10 years? I get why it might be smart presidential politics but it's pretty untethered from reality

ALERT: Major slowdown in West Coast ports traffic. Empty shelves coming soon. Mobile UI issues with Ghost prevent me from sharing links now, but I'll post a full report tomorrow. Subscribe for updates (free): dataandpolitics.net/empty-ships-empty-promises

The Trump administration is "willing to not just slash and burn research that challenges their political ideology but to replace it with shoddy studies designed to support their goals, under the guise of scientific legitimacy," @katherinejwu.com writes.

Reminder Schumer was right, Trump is getting the blame for the economy, litigation is going well, and Elon is giving up rather than being able to supercharge his efforts:

Lionel Hutz: Don't worry, Homer. I have a foolproof strategy to get you out of here. Surprise witnesses, each more surprising than the last. I tell you, the judge won't know what hit him.

Literally a key step into competitive authoritarianism - undermining the ability of the opposition party to raise funds to oppose him

There's a fun chapter in Rick Perlstein's Nixonland where in '69 Nixon realizes to his horror that all of LBJ's economic problems are now his and he freaks out and starts screaming about Jewish grocers causing inflation, then US Steel rases the "sheet price" and Dick really hit's the roof.

Bad news @princetonyimby.bsky.social, we all have to support Adams now. I'm sorry but he's just clearly better on the issues than Cuomo:

JFC. So far, Trump has caused markets to lose about 14%. Here's how the same period to date looks under other recent presidential terms

Kind of weird we are still arguing about this

Fresh Trump numbers www.cnbc.com/2025/04/19/t...

www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...

Wrongly deporting people was never popular! This is not a case of Van Hollen -who is from a very blue state anyway- leading and shifting public opinion. The "no compromise with the electorate, we know best!" take so popular on this website is not especially vindicated by this case.

The losing candidates in 2012, 2008, 2004, 2000, and 1996 were more popular than the winners in any of the three most recent elections — parties used to try to be liked.

This is probably the source of 95% of the vitriol that gets directed at Yglesias, we should RETVRN to progressive intellectual ignoring real politics and Dems ignoring progressive intellectuals, everyone will be happier

We need to go back:

This terrible budget bill with trillions in additional debt and trillions in Medicaid cuts continues to fly dangerously below the radar IMO — though I did see lots of good signs at 50501 protests. www.slowboring.com/p/dont-ignor...

Vance is like:

I'm always for running this one out but unlike the Nixon case no one actually thought this was a bunch of geniuses.

Zimmerman Telegraph levels of insanity: www.nytimes.com/2025/04/18/b...

So I guess we are getting a "modified limited Entering Bexhill" as the deportation strategy? (cruelty and illegalness and brutality but done for the cameras in giant expensive photo ops not on a real mass scale)

I think it's more that Trump's rivals in the GOP are constantly underestimate his sort of low cunning and he's quite good at out maneuvering them, see how he got Rubio out of the Senate and saddled him with ugly tasks and will probably fire him by the end of the year.

Also the reply guys on here are pretty weird as well

This website is funny because someone is like "I think Biden's immigration policies provoked a real public backlash that helped Trump and that was bad" and people respond with: youtu.be/wjaKdtYbTto?...

Excited for the upcoming MischeifsCon in San Diego!

I'm going to have to object to Bret being a "powerful thinker" on, well, anything.

People on this website are like "It is literally impossible for Gavin Newsom to be elected president!" And I'm like, "Counterpoint, he's tall and looks good in jeans, so he's halfway there already" x.com/CAgovernor/s...

No, it's because Chuck is a United States Senator* and Bill is a semi-retired pundit guy. *for better or worse the Senate does function as old boys club, that's the nature of the institution.

This is a very useful paragraph from ‪@jasonfurman.bsky.social‬, and one that might explain our current tariff debacle.

Good thread (I'd add that hubris is a major theme of Trump the person and Trump 2.0, see how they had all the Ivies lined up to cave one by one but then overreached with Harvard and now the fight is on (and Harvard is now fundraising off of it!))

See, I told you all that Uncle Chuck's plan was working, let the man cook!