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jacksantucci.bsky.social
Political scientist studying state/local, electoral rules, parties, etc. jacksantucci.com
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thanks to @shirokuriwaki.bsky.social, the Cooperative Election Study common content cumulative data file has been updated with all 701,955 respondents we've interviewed since 2006 dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

I think it's VS Code. Any thoughts on why this is better than, say, BBEdit? Any drawbacks?

Someone was telling me about an IDE that comes/works with many common programming languages at once: R, python, etc. Anyone know what this is? I forgot its name.

In Dec. '24 & Jan. '25, we polled GOP & Democratic political activists with @today.yougov.com . Cutting taxes on people making over $400K was among the least popular policies we polled. Medicaid work requirements won a majority of activists; expanding Medicare was more popular.

Missed this post by @benraue.com over the weekend (while my kid was turning 18 🥲) but it's absolutely, incredibly bang on www.tallyroom.com.au/60577. I'm slightly more sanguine in that I think the parties will (eventually) respond to low primary vote but the current disproportionality is Very Bad

The relationship between the percentage of a county's population with a BA and Democratic vote share was basically the same in 2024 as it was in 2020 (B=.89 vs .91). Interestingly, % of the population with a grad degree predicts better predicts Dem vote share relative to BA%. 1/2

You may remember my “article hunt” assignment from a thread back in 2018, or from one earlier this year. I wrote about it for Political Science Educator: educate.apsanet.org/developing-r.... Big thanks to @colinmbrown.bsky.social and Matt Evans for curating this collection! #TeachLearnSky

Super happy to share this new paper with @zeynsom.bsky.social and Patrick Fournier, out now in JEPOP! We study how the accuracy of citizens' perceptions of parties' issue positions depends on the importance they attach to the issue. See Zeynep's 🧵 for an overview of our findings!

With much thanks to @ndelacerda.bsky.social & a great @chesdata.bsky.social team, we have a new JOP article (early access) comparing expert evaluations of party positions from Europe to Israel to North America to Australia. doi.org/10.1086/736578

👀

I am watching alien/armageddon shows and wondering what kind of constitution would be written at the end. To start, I’m thinking about who seems to be in charge and then how bad the destruction was.

Story below worth reading. Makes me more likely to side with the argument that Congress (over many years) has been ok with letting big issues just get litigated.

Kielbasy and pierogy

Great quotations here for anyone who has followed the literature www.governing.com/politics/bos...

Thinking about it alongside this: www.nature.com/articles/s41... I think I can reconcile them, but I’m curious about others’ views.

“The major crises in modern American politics are not just the result of institutional racism, plutocratic influence, or partisan polarization. They are a product of these forces flowing in a federal institutional system of government.” — @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social

Interesting to read meta.stackoverflow.com/questions/42...

Now out in APSR from Campos and Federico (2025), "A New Measure of Affective Polarization." (1/2)

ICYMI - i wrote a bit of a meta-take on how to think about Trump's first vs. second terms. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/how-differ...

Casual observations on the NYC primary: - three-cornered race - aggregation rule that asks voters to find the majority - some corners telling voters not to rank other corners

If “we” are going to unleash a new wave of major electoral reform in cities, it needs to be done with more care than was exercised the last time. That’s was on my mind as I worked on the second piece below.

PUBLICATION DAY🚨! What role do institutions play in shaping public policy? We bridge two foundational polisky pillars: policy process🤝 institutional theories Grateful to @kariningold.bsky.social et al. for such an inspiring collab! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... @epa-journal.bsky.social

Also a bit like itself in the late 1920s/early 1930s. Housing and infrastructure problems, party loyalty/pay-to-play in hiring, Jimmy Walker-like figures (as others have noted), plus the manifest factions noted below. Austerity turns parties into machines, which then eat themselves alive.

Yes. AND lower partisanship among the public plus differences in institutions meant legislators could cultivate sources of support distinct from the executive.

I expect disagreement about whether this is a good idea: open.substack.com/pub/theliber.... Assuming something like it goes forward, this other piece gives a framework for thinking through options: manhattan.institute/article/refo...:

One challenge we run into when debating the value of moderation is that there are qualitatively different ways of viewing the center. Maybe this is obvious to the debate’s participants. I don’t know.

Pre-election coalition is more common in PR systems than many realize. Its desirability shaped our recommendations in this report: apsanet.org/Political-Pa...

This was a really good accessible overview of causal/proof-focused stats and I'm super tempted to make it an extra credit reading for my causal inference classes

I graded a lot of papers this term. I am not worried about LLMs.

It would be interesting if he were to “pull a grand junction” by sopping up transfers in an otherwise divided field.

Love it when students write papers on why their home cities should replace “mixed” ward/at-large elections with MMP.