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kevinbonham.bsky.social
Psephologist, polling analyst and poll transparency advocate, political commentator, ecologist, chess player/admin. No party loyalties. Not-A-Pollster.
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More signs of the Tassie Nats being Lambie Chaos 2.0. "We will negotiate with whoever comes to parliament with the numbers". #politas

submitted 1 hour ago • 2 comments

The podcast is back! With @kevinbonham.bsky.social, discussing the collapse of the Tasmanian government and the impending state election #ausvotes

submitted 2 hours ago • 0 comments

Just a note re Bradfield 2PP: the AEC has had to come up with a method to estimate the Bradfield 2PP in order to close off the tally room and archive the 2025 election with full details but the method looks very likely to significantly underestimate the Labor 2PP in Bradfield.

submitted 2 hours ago • 2 comments

Tasmanian TImes reports "Braddon MHA Miriam Beswick will this morning announce her intention to stand as a candidate for the Tasmanian Nationals at the #politas state election. "

submitted 9 hours ago • 1 comment

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian State Election Guide #Franklin #politas

submitted 21 hours ago • 0 comments

Yours truly from about 45 mins here. #politas

submitted 23 hours ago • 2 comments

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian State Election Guide #Clark #politas

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian State Election Guide #Clark #politas

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Guess what? @davemilbo.bsky.social is back on Australian soil so joins the #SundayShot without internet glitches! He appears alongside @roycerk2.bsky.social and @mariecolemanao.bsky.social, plus an interview with @kevinbonham.bsky.social on what the hell is going on in Tasmanian politics. Join us!

submitted 3 days ago • 8 comments

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian State Election Guide: #Braddon #politas

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Wondering how the federal Liberals and Nationals feel about the Tasmanian Nationals possibly endorsing a candidate who brought down a state Liberal government #politas

submitted 2 days ago • 5 comments

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian State Election Guide: #Bass #politas

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Previous Senate support candidate Vanessa Bleyer will lead Greens Braddon ticket #politas www.theadvocate.com.au/story/899129...

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/anno... Announced/Expected Candidates for the 2025 Tasmanian Election. Please let me know of more not on the page as they're announced. #politas

submitted 3 days ago • 5 comments

Sladden re-endorsed. Seriously. #politas www.examiner.com.au/story/899057...

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2025/06/2025... 2025 Tasmanian Election Guide: Main Page #politas

submitted 4 days ago • 2 comments

I am very pleased to advise the Senate that on July 19 I will be live blogging election night for Pulse Tasmania which among many excellent things means my coverage will not be paywalled. #politas

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

Not-A-Polls are open on the sidebar of kevinbonham.blogspot.com in preparation for the imminent launch of my election guide main page! #politas

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

I will be launching my #politas election guide main page tonight, time TBD. #politas

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

Note to media: not available for in-person interviews tomorrow after midday. For before midday please arrange tonight or I may not be available. #politas

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

Premier -> Government House #politas

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

The author thanks referee 2 for constructive comments on a previous draft of this paper. #politas

submitted 5 days ago • 1 comment

Statement from Labor Leader Dean Winter confirming that he met with the Governor this afternoon. Winter says he "reiterated my position that Labor will not be doing a deal with the Greens" #politas #auspol

submitted 5 days ago • 5 comments