kevinsaude.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

We are hoping that How Ireland 2024 will hit the shelves in late Summer with a launch in late September. Lots of great contributions on the campaign, manifestos and results from @janesuit.bsky.social @harrymcgee.bsky.social @gailmcelroy.bsky.social @stefanmueller.bsky.social and many more

submitted 33 days ago • 0 comments

A few thoughts on Le Pen's verdict It may be her downfall but it is unlikely it will be the far right's until we do not address the central role the mainstream elite has played in its rise Unfortunately, expect more of the same theconversation.com/marine-le-pe...

submitted 76 days ago • 2 comments

What will decide the future of far-right politics in France will not be the court at Le Pen's trial It will be the way the mainstream media and politicians choose to handle it and whether they allow the far right to use it to its advantage The choice is theirs, not Le Pen's or her allies

submitted 77 days ago • 3 comments

Great piece, worth your read!

submitted 96 days ago • 0 comments

Blown away by this erudite book by @valentimvicente.bsky.social 🤯 An exceptional combination of theoretical sophistication and empirical breadth and depth. His theory of normalization not just helps explain recent rise of far right but also warns for overestimating strength of democracy.

submitted 96 days ago • 9 comments

Some thoughts on the European response to the chaos now emanating from the White House - on Ukraine and more broadly, based on chats with senior European policymakers directly or indirectly involved in formulating the bloc's response 1/

submitted 101 days ago • 34 comments

Russian imperialism didn’t start in 2022, nor is it confined to Ukraine. My new book analyses the Kremlin’s long shadow—past and present. Out on 24 April.

submitted 102 days ago • 10 comments

The whole 8 minutes speech must be shared far and wide. Senator Malhuret always had a way with words 👏

submitted 102 days ago • 1 comment

Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social . We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric. Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms more than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric. 1/3

submitted 107 days ago • 10 comments

Agree. At this point, you disrespect Ukraine, you disrespect Europe. This would’ve been unacceptable towards any European leader but the fact that Zelenskyy leads a country at war makes it the greatest possible insult.

submitted 107 days ago • 13 comments

We are delighted to announce a CFP for our next conference in October, entitled "Cultural Memory – Memory Culture(s). Europe’s Past, Present and Future." Please visit our website for more details. www.ul.ie/ceuros/news/...

submitted 110 days ago • 0 comments

And that, is a masterclass on how to deal with con artists like Trump. The body language, carefully worded and structured answer. On point!

submitted 111 days ago • 0 comments

Trump’s numbers on US & European aid to Ukraine are completely fabricated — Europe has given more to Ukraine and the US hasn’t reached anywhere near $350 billion.

submitted 111 days ago • 145 comments

I have only realised that my LaTeX to PDF documents can be opened from MS Word. And its conversion from PDF to a word document is reasonably good. Tables are messy, but the rest good. Useful when collaborating with non-LaTeX folks.

submitted 116 days ago • 0 comments

Yes the storm was an outlier (for now!), kudos to ESB + emergency staff, but serious questions must be asked about under-investments in infrastructure in Ireland. Im just coming out of near 3-day power & phone blackout, and now water issues. Hundred of thousands affected in Ireland. Not good enough

submitted 140 days ago • 0 comments

Ryanair dispatch smell a rat. Wait and see, just in case

submitted 143 days ago • 1 comment

Dr Thomas Daubler from UCD has published some fascinating work on turnout at the Irish general election. You can read the full blog at www.ucd.ie/connected_po...

submitted 145 days ago • 1 comment

The gender divide in young Irish people’s political attitudes #Irishpolitics

submitted 153 days ago • 0 comments

I have revised my syllabus for the module Quantitative Text Analysis at @ucddublin.bsky.social. I have added various papers on transformers, LLMs, and other new resources. Feel free to reuse and build on the syllabus, and let me know if you have any suggestions. 📄 muellerstefan.net/teaching/202...

submitted 157 days ago • 3 comments

🚨In Nature🚨 Meta is dropping fact-checking to avoid anti-conservative bias- but is there actually evidence of bias? We this test empirically & find that conservatives * ARE suspended more * BUT share more misinfo So suspension isn't necessarily evidence of bias www.nature.com/articles/s41...

submitted 159 days ago • 98 comments

Just published on APSR First View: "Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond" by Valentin Daur @valentindaur.bsky.social. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

submitted 185 days ago • 2 comments

One of these people of the year is a convicted rapist who has spent his whole life assaulting women. The other person of the year is a hugely courageous woman whose unbelievably moving testimony about how she was serially raped and abused by scores of men shocked Europe. Brava, Gisèle Pélicot. 👏

submitted 185 days ago • 0 comments

Group Project: Let’s all (re-)read Seymour Martin Lipset’s groundbreaking “Political Man” (1960) over the break!

submitted 187 days ago • 6 comments

I discuss turnout and postal voting in @irishtimes.bsky.social today. And @janesuit.bsky.social looks at the huge potential of early voting. What should be done to boost voter turnout? www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2024...

submitted 187 days ago • 0 comments

Assad family splurges $40M on 19 Moscow apartments – FT. The properties were purchased between 2013 and 2019, suggesting they were preparing for relocation well in advance. www.ft.com/content/fb48...

submitted 188 days ago • 19 comments

Against the background of tumultuous domestic politics this ceremony has starkly revealed the paradoxes of France. Audacious but self-defeatists,internally fractious but united as a nation, keen to demonstrate ability to both build and destroy. Tonight we celebrate but tomorrow... War it is, again.

submitted 190 days ago • 0 comments

She looks absolutely dazzling and majestic.

submitted 190 days ago • 0 comments

University of Oslo is hiring 2-4(!) Associate Professors in Political Science. The call is open to candidates from all subfields. Deadline is February 3rd. It comes with amazing colleagues, great work conditions, and lots of snow. Brown cheese, salmon, and cross-country skis can be supplementary.

submitted 190 days ago • 5 comments

A veritable tour de force by French diplomacy, and Macron. Fair enough, not many royals and global leaders, but while domestic politics are at an all time low in FR, Macron who's in large part responsible for this mess is having a good day on the global stage.

submitted 190 days ago • 0 comments

Sometimes history accelerates with crushing force. The Assads will surely be gone within hours.

submitted 190 days ago • 1 comment

As Barnier himself said 2 days ago to Chassaigne, a long-time communist MP: "This assembly is very different from our time back in the days". Old recipes to suit a completely new context (division of power, partisan, generation, Intl, finance) evidently not gonna work. Historical comparisons limited

submitted 193 days ago • 0 comments

My pre-accounced piece in @prospectmagazine.co.uk is out today. I returned to regular op-Ed writing for "Super Election Year 2024" and this is the Grand Finale. I am very proud of this piece, and hope it is read, but will return to (much) lower profile next year. A quick thread on the key points. 🧵

submitted 193 days ago • 1 comment

Next...

submitted 193 days ago • 0 comments

An interesting take. My superficial views on the events are centered on habitus (no willingness to compromise in a divided assembly), personal political ambitions (see Lisnard, LR for a telling example). Overall this only weakens the legislative branch by elevating Presidency as only worthy prize

submitted 193 days ago • 0 comments

What the ongoing french political crisis shows, while the 5th republic proves more flexible under duress than previously assumed, we can't expect behavioural change (habitus) within few months. Macron too easily scapegoated to further personal ambitions - e.g Lisnard, LR calling for his resignation.

submitted 194 days ago • 1 comment

My post-electoral waiting game: how many datasets will I have to (gladly) recode for inclusion in the Irish Electoral Studies Database? Over one year in the making with @jelkink.bsky.social R. Costello. Very close to releasing over 30 studies, fine combed, fully harmonised, documented, codebooked...

submitted 194 days ago • 1 comment

This story is so heartwarming.

submitted 194 days ago • 0 comments