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kylehaynes.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science at Purdue University. Opinions mine. Security, conflict, bargaining, US foreign policy. Scored on by Geoff Cameron. https://kyle-haynes.weebly.com/
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Posts 44 Comments 6

Entrapment isn’t about duping your ally, it’s just changing their incentives. Israel attacked knowing the negative externalities would be sunk costs for the US. Then, Israel might hope, the US would go ahead and hit Fordow since the costs are already baked in. www.axios.com/2025/06/14/i...

submitted 6 hours ago • 2 comments

God he sucks at talking

submitted 7 hours ago • 0 comments

CNN currently talking about “tensions rising” and the passive voice is doing a Herculean amount of work in their effort to avoid saying anything meaningful about anything.

submitted 7 hours ago • 0 comments

Same for Rubio and that yawn

submitted 8 hours ago • 0 comments

Yeah if military parades have the same signaling value they apparently did in the 60s then we should be worried about Canada invading us.

submitted 8 hours ago • 0 comments

China sheepishly pushes its timeline back to 2037

submitted 8 hours ago • 0 comments

JFC cable news is cooked. Describing the parade as “extraordinary” and “unprecedented” WITH ZERO FUCKING INDICATION OF WHY. The country is on fire and their lone goal is to avoid making any discernible value statement about any of it.

submitted 8 hours ago • 1 comment

More sad Trump videos please

submitted 9 hours ago • 1 comment

This is truly the saddest shit I’ve ever seen. On lots of levels.

submitted 9 hours ago • 0 comments

Turned on cnn to see what normies were seeing about the parade and accidentally heard brett mcgurk talking about Israel and I’ve made a terrible mistake

submitted 9 hours ago • 0 comments

This is so fucking sad

submitted 9 hours ago • 1 comment

This is fewer people than constitution ave has on any random Saturday afternoon. Predictably his net effect is repellent.

submitted 9 hours ago • 0 comments

These daily reminders of how stark the loyalty/competence tradeoff is really gives you a good sense of why autocratic states so often suck absolute shit

submitted 11 hours ago • 0 comments

When democracy is well and truly at stake we should all be single issue voters

submitted 11 hours ago • 0 comments

This is maybe the 14,000th most important thing right now but yes it’s the stopping power of distance, not water. People just say stopping power of water because most of the earth is water, so distance and water tend to overlap. But on average it’s far easier to project power across water than land.

submitted 17 hours ago • 2 comments

Plus the city could avoid having to pay out the couple million dollars it’s gonna owe this guy once he sues the shit out of them….

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

I wish I could say this was hyperbole

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

This is amazing

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Also notable that **Corey Lewandowski** is now apparently a voice of moderation and restraint in the Trump administration.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Same. And just wait until it includes tanks….

submitted 1 day ago • 0 comments

Hard not to think spoiling US-Iran talks played an important role here.

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Entrapment is rare in general, but man it’s not hard to envision it happening here, even if US role would remain mostly backstage

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Forgetting his go-to fall back line of blaming it on Biden.

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Oh we’re taking the regime change angle here?

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Unfortunately I only received this email after already naming both my kids

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

I don’t think there’s any such thing as a unified theory of Trumpism but complete and total ignorance of everything that’s happened in the past 80 years is probably as close as you’ll come to one.

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

They already did. In 1948. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/11/w...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

They simply have to conceive of people like Levitsky as partisan actors because otherwise they’d have to admit that they inexplicably ignored him and the countless other experts who’ve been screaming about this shit for a decade now.

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Welp no way we could’ve predicted this as a logical consequence of decades of completely unconditional support, even amid a campaign of straight up ethnic cleansing.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Secret police demanding “papers” is pretty reliably the most chilling part of the most dystopian movies.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Also worth noting that the tools needed to stop the mad king are sitting *right fucking there* for congress to pick up if a handful of GOP reps really start to worry about those basic laws of gravity.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Rapidly making ourselves into the cybertruck of countries

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Hard to uncross this bridge.

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

I don’t want to generalize but these are all just dreadful, soulless people.

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

No one on here cares but just going on the record to say signing Cherki for $45m is gonna go down as one of the best pieces of business in recent football history. That guy is nasty.

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

Nothing like perusing an antique mall only to get punched in the face with the most concentrated form of raw sexual energy in recorded human history.

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

Thought I was gonna be celebrating this but yeah it’s basically all the bad shit. Tell me when cargo shorts and grunge are back.

submitted 8 days ago • 1 comment

Counterpoint 👇🏼 Checkmate lib.

submitted 9 days ago • 1 comment

Purdue will cease distributing the (outstanding) student newspaper, restrict them using the name 'Purdue,' & take away their parking passes...because of institutional neutrality. An absolute abomination. Beyond shameful. Utterly craven & cowardly leadership. www.purdueexponent.org/campus/gener...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Dafuq is this? Breakfast is easily the best of all meals. I eat breakfast food anytime it’s even remotely socially acceptable. Anyone who thinks otherwise should be shunned from society.

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

There’s a lesson in here for Dems. Doing shit gets you more support

submitted 11 days ago • 1 comment

So he’s still leaving United then?

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Meanwhile Sage Steele just got named to the board at IU…these people are fucking clowns. And arsonists. Clown-arsonists.

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

This is, uh, not the first time prominent MAGA figures have used the “everyone should know I’m totally full of shit” defense

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments