maurogilli.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

No easy way out on Europe’s nuclear dilemmas, yet plenty to do, @claudmajor.bsky.social & I conclude. Are we too hopeful & unambitious? Tell us! Thanks to @constelz.bsky.social @brookings.edu for the initiative & opportunity. Look also at the great papers by @sophiabesch.bsky.social & Thomas Wright.

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

Took months of work, but @aagilli.bsky.social and I are proud to bring you a paper that deals with the true elephant in the room: Should the EU equip itself with a nuclear deterrent, and if so, how? www.bruegel.org/working-pape...

submitted 2 days ago • 7 comments

Very informative www.rusi.org/explore-our-...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

#NEW: Strike on underground meeting killed most of IRGC air force brass in one strike — Israel Defense Minister Katz

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

From Blas and Farchy’s The World For Sale

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

Just remembering the amount of shit I got from Assad fanboys and tankies for saying the kidnapping video was an obvious fake.

submitted 7 days ago • 5 comments

🧵 Another day, another email to the Bellingcat contact inbox from Russia's disinformation campaign, again targeting Moldova. This contains a bunch of X links, which has hosted a lot of Russian disinformation from this campaign, but this batch has some new and interesting characteristics

submitted 7 days ago • 5 comments

'To reach even [Natanz] all the weapons available to the Israeli Air Force, and all except the 30,000 lbs GBU-57/B and the 5,000 lbs GBU 72/B available to the United States, would likely require several impacts into the same crater to ‘burrow’ down...' www.rusi.org/explore-our-...

submitted 7 days ago • 13 comments

I am looking for articles/chapters that provide a big picture perspective on the war in Ukraine and that cover (also) the period after the 2023 counter-offensive, to assign for an MA class in international security. If you have any suggestion feel free to share.

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

www.ft.com/content/4a93...

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

The Latest Air Jordans? They’re Digital www.nytimes.com/2025/06/07/b...

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

www.ft.com/content/032e...

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

We obtained lists of alleged gang members used by Venezuelan law enforcement and Interpol. Those lists include some 1,400 names. None of the names of the 238 Venezuelan deportees matched those on the lists. W/ @texastribune.org @cazadoresdefakenews.info, Alianza Rebelde Investiga

submitted 8 days ago • 26 comments

„Just a cute little bureaucratic monster“, not intended to harm anyone or pursue political ends. Naivität, die. German Chamber of Commerce in China at its finest. www.ft.com/content/cd9f...

submitted 9 days ago • 4 comments

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/09/b...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

I am speechless. A Ukrainian POW released from russian captivity shows horrific signs of torture -- including a burned-in inscription: "Glory to russia." This is not war. This is sadism. Monsters.

submitted 10 days ago • 21 comments

Excellent piece. I read it earlier today to prep for a podcast on America's ability to fight a long war.

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

On the ground? Explode. In the air? Still explode. www.reuters.com/business/aer...

submitted 12 days ago • 1 comment

AXIOS: “.. Elon Musk forced every Republican into a loyalty test between himself and President Trump. In rapid succession, they're choosing Trump.” @axios.com www.axios.com/newsletters/...

submitted 13 days ago • 83 comments

Everyone who reads this thinks 'I can think of a country that is out of control'

submitted 14 days ago • 11 comments

Oh.

submitted 13 days ago • 2 comments

Kaboom.

submitted 13 days ago • 1 comment

@tomnuttall.bsky.social writes on Germany's military revival. 'Soldiers marvel at the esteem they now encounter in daily life. “Sometimes when I’m on the street people stop me to say, ‘Thank you for your service’—like in America!” exclaims one cadet officer.' www.economist.com/europe/2025/...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

"The decision follows Germany’s December 2024 parliamentary approval of €44.5 million for preparatory studies to integrate the AEGIS combat management system into the preferred F127 frigate design..." Presumably this also implies CMS 330 is less likely. defensearchives.com/news/germany...

submitted 14 days ago • 2 comments

Interesting debate on what defence spending adds to your economy on.ft.com/4jCLJFs How big is the economic dividend from extra defence spending?

submitted 14 days ago • 2 comments

Very much on point.

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

If this goes to SAMP/T and not Patriot, I think it’s safe to say we’ve seen the first major arms deal where Trump has been seen as a greater liability than the benefit of aligning with US equipment would have provided.

submitted 14 days ago • 4 comments

🚨Climate politics job alert🚨 Interested in the opportunity to focus on your own climate politics research project for 1 year in a stimulating and supportive environment at a leading university in Berlin? Open to postdocs & graduates. hertie-school.dvinci-easy.com/en/p/en/jobs...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

The 🇩🇰 minister of defence today declared that a decision about the first GBAD system will be made next week to be in operation already in 2026. This probably means that a country will offer one or two batteries on loan as a kick start. 🇳🇴 or 🇫🇷?

submitted 14 days ago • 4 comments

Very interesting (and concerning) thread threadreaderapp.com/thread/19302...

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

NEW: CSIS Defense and Security Department data shows that Russian military forces have failed to effectively advance along multiple axes in Ukraine, and they will likely hit the 1 million casualty mark by summer 2025. 🧵Read below for more on Russia’s battlefield woes: www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

submitted 15 days ago • 1 comment

Reading this gets you like 90% of the way there on understanding shipbuilding in the US, the rest is force design and niche engineering questions

submitted 16 days ago • 2 comments

“While areas such as cyber conflict and the Royal Air Force secured planned investment, the Royal Navy stands out as the primary winner.” - FT analyses the British strategic defence review on.ft.com/3Hm02Rc Submarines, drones and AI: Britain’s military future mapped out in defence review

submitted 16 days ago • 1 comment

I’ve always appreciated Dmitry’s technical analysis, but if this is the viewpoint of a mainstream Russian analyst then it speaks volumes about what Europe is up against. A sovereign & well-armed Ukraine is a European interest & Europe has the means to pursue that end for as long as it takes.

submitted 17 days ago • 19 comments

Ukrainian security service sources tell @financialtimes.com the agency is conducting "a large-scale special operation to destroy enemy bomber aircraft" deep inside Russia. "SBU drones are targeting aircraft that bomb Ukrainian cities every night." Claims 40 aircraft have been hit.

submitted 18 days ago • 63 comments

1/ Very important signal that UK might return to air-launched tactical nuclear forces by buying F-35A and participating in US nuclear sharing arrangements. There had been indications that UK was preparing to be able to host B61 tactical nuclear weapons. www.thetimes.com/uk/defence/a...

submitted 18 days ago • 14 comments

😂

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

Finland’s defence minister: Russia will highly likely continue strengthening and developing its armed forces, and hybrid warfare in all the domains…China has enabled Russia’s war effort in Europe.” Points to “intensifying hybrid ops” incl cable sabotage in Europe and Asia.

submitted 19 days ago • 1 comment

Sweden will start collecting insurance info on shadow fleet tankers passing Sweden July 1st. Min of justice: ”this will deter the shadow fleet and serve as grounds for further actions, eg sanctions”

submitted 19 days ago • 9 comments

Thanks for these 9 years!

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

One listens to Kellogg, the most "pro-Ukraine" member of the Trump team, and it seems obvious that if Russia can't make a some kind of Ukraine deal with this administration, then it couldn't agree with any conceivable US administration.

submitted 20 days ago • 0 comments

The tragic landslide in Blatten gives me the excuse to tell you the story of how we found out Ice Ages existed. It's a cool story and the most important bit is rather similar to what's happening now.

submitted 20 days ago • 25 comments

Update on Russian recruitment: New data from Russia's federal budget suggests that around 400,000 men signed a contract with the Russian military in 2024. The fourth quarter was particularly strong, with an estimated 1,700 new contracts per day. Full analysis here: open.substack.com/pub/janisklu...

submitted 20 days ago • 4 comments

I sure hope this will not be cited in the future introduction section of the book on "The Great 2027 Pandemic"😱😢

submitted 21 days ago • 0 comments