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mzwheeler.bsky.social
Born in Baltimore, based in Bangkok. Senior Analyst, South East Asia, International Crisis Group
61 posts 899 followers 854 following
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As I wrote earlier today, the Trump administration's projects of domestic political repression and militarized immigration enforcement have converged in California. www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

"Trump reneged on more than a billion dollars the Biden administration promised to tribes for renewable energy and salmon recovery."

In case anyone's interested in Buddhism and how young people engage with organized religion in Thailand!

Noem’s language in this reported letter to the Pentagon is a further illustration of how the administration has sought to repurpose the terminology and tools of counterterrorism and war against migrants and domestic political opponents. www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

President Trump has now pardoned 9 members of Congress convicted of crimes

According to Cambodian Army spokesperson Mao Phalla, one Cambodian soldier was killed in a brief exchange of fire at a disputed border area between #Cambodia and Thailand.

NEW REPORT | The U.S., China and the Search for a New Equilibrium As China projects its advancing military capabilities and the U.S. sends mixed messages about security assurance, Washington and Beijing should resume talks to manage any risks of escalation. www.crisisgroup.org/asia/north-e...

A new report finds the bottom 60% of U.S. households—or *two-thirds* of the population—can't afford a “minimal quality of life": housing, health care, and other necessities. "Indicators like GDP and unemployment tell us the economy is thriving. But they don’t reflect the reality of most Americans."

WhileTrump claims Bessent brokered a “total reset” of 🇺🇸 🇨🇳 economic ties, it’s not evident 🇺🇸came out ahead. Trump’s gambit, far from inducing 🇨🇳 to capitulate, ultimately showcased how much Beijing’s capacity for asymmetric retaliation has grown since his first term www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

The lèse majesté and computer crime cases against American academic Paul Chambers will be dropped, according to a statement by the Office of the Attorney General. Dr. Chambers was arrested weeks ago and is not only fighting against the charges but also his visa revocation.

This indicates a fundamental misunderstanding of the reconciliation between the US & Vietnam over the last three decades since normalization. The deep level of trust rests on open & honest dialogue and the hard work of countless diplomats on both sides. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/w...

“The Trump administration has told its senior diplomats in Vietnam not to take part in events marking the 50th anniversary of the end of the war” www.nytimes.com/2025/04/22/w...

NEW: My commentary for @crisisgroup.org on how the Trump administration has repurposed the terrorism framing and applied it to cartels, migrants, and domestic political opponents. www.crisisgroup.org/united-state...

NEW BRIEFING | A Rebel Border: India’s Evolving Ties with Myanmar after the Coup Newly announced border controls could undercut New Delhi's approach to rebels holding most of Myanmar’s periphery. Fine-tuned policies would better serve its ends. www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-e...

Condemning the Arrest of Scholar Paul Chambers on Lèse-majesté: 112WATCH condemns his arrest and urges the Thai government to uphold academic freedom and prevent the politicisation of Article 112. April 4, 2025 112watch.org/condemning-t...

Thailand is charging US academic Paul Chambers with article 112 & Computer Crimes Act based on @iseas-singapore.bsky.social description of an academic program that was neither written nor published on line by Paul. So how were these charges developed? Who is responsible? www.hrw.org/news/2025/04...

#BREAKING: American academic Dr. Paul Chambers, a renowned expert on the Thai military and security apparatus, has been arrested for lèse majesté and denied bail by a Phitsanulok court.

Japan and NATO plan to take their partnership to the next level by stepping up information-sharing and defense-industrial cooperation, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte told The Japan Times in an exclusive interview.

Local media reports that Dr. Paul Chambers, historian and Thai military history expert has been arrested on lesé-majeste (article 112) charges. Dr. Chambers is a critic of Thai military involvement in politics and so called “khaki capitalism” #article112 #lesemajeste #thailand

Powerful piece by @rebtanhs.bsky.social @washingtonpost.com #MyanmarEarthquake #USAID: www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/0...

Myanmar’s earthquake comes at a time when a beleaguered, illegitimate junta is locked in an existential battle with its opponents. Many observers are understandably questioning whether Myanmar’s generals are sincere in their calls for international help. www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-e...

New by me @foreignpolicy.com: I argue that despite the seeming normalcy of the US-Japan defense ministerial over the weekend, Tokyo shouldn't be under any illusions about the potential risks to the alliance. foreignpolicy.com/2025/04/01/j...

Was speaking with a USAID person yesterday explaining how at any other time countless phone lines wld be buzzing, working groups stood up, go-teams and aid being dispatched to after the Myanmar quake. Now ... nothing.

Very much a long-shot, but I'm trying to figure out the first name of a French military officer, Captian Lucar (Lucas?), who was invited by the Japanese Army in 1921 to teach an eight-week course on anti-aircraft maneuvers. All I have is the Japanese rendering of the family name, リュカー Any ideas?

Coverage of the impact of the earthquake in Myanmar from @myanmar-now.bsky.social Lots of collapsed buildings in Mandalay, reports of significant damage in Naypyitaw. State of emergency declared by Junta in Mandalay, Sagaing, Naypyidaw, Magway, Bago regions as well as northeastern Shan State...

JUST IN: Fire and heavy damage at Mandalay University in Myanmar, reports of casualties

My god—a major earthquake (a Richter ~7.7) causes a skyscraper to collapse in Bangkok. Hope all the construction workers made it out.

MYANMAR EARTHQUAKE What we know: - 7.7 scale quake, 10 km deep recorded in Mandalay, Myanmar at ~ 13.20pm BK time - felt in Thailand as far as Bangkok, buildings swaying - images and footage of damage What we don’t know: - extend of damages - no. of casualties

Looking forward to discuss Australia, Trump 2.0 and the need for multidimensional approaches in a world of transactional realpolitik. I'll be ISEAS in Singapore on Mon 24 March, sign up here: t.co/csLDmvvibv

Stability in Myanmar’s Chin State is likely to hinge on unifying the two main armed factions now in control and whose disputes have threatened to prompt a wave of violence and tempt the military to try reconquering parts of the state. www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-e...

In 1940, the presidents of Yale, Columbia, and Harvard urged the government and country to fight fascism. It was national news.

“predictability of our allies is a greater asset to take into account. We have to believe that, in all circumstances, these allies will be on our side.” —Portuguese Minister of Defense. www.airdatanews.com/instead-of-f...

“fresh militant attacks are a reminder that a cessation of hostilities is more often an effect of peace talks than a precondition.” My thoughts on violence in southernmost Thailand.

Separatist insurgents in Thailand’s deep south carried out a deadly attack on a government office in Su Ngai Kolok district in Narathiwat province. The deliberate attack on civilians was an apparent war crime under international humanitarian law.

Post a photo you took with no context to bring some zen to the timeline

Online seminar on the new Prabowo presidency - this will be a very informative event for anyone interested in Indonesian politics events.humanitix.com/the-prabowo-...

UPDATE: Thai Natl. Police Chief Kitrat Phanphet also confirms the deportation of 40 Uyghurs and China's "assurances they're being looked after" as well as Thai officials traveling there to follow-up. He also says it was a National Security Council decision.

Rare partial win in Thai courts as reporter is acquitted of using force to interfere with an official while investigating a Extrajudicial killing. However the mother of the person killed was sentenced to 6 months suspended and a fine. prachataienglish.com/node/11318

Since the end of the fighting in Cambodia, nearly 20,000 people have been killed and about 45,000 injured by leftover war explosives. The number of casualties has declined over time; last year there were 49 deaths. #cambodia #landmines #conflict #khmerrouge #usa

📆 SAVE THE DATE | Violence and Politics in Haiti’s Transitional Government 🎧 Online event ⏰ 26 February | 10am Port-Au-Prince | 4pm Brussels | 10am New York Register here 🔽 www.crisisgroup.org/how-we-work/...

Speaking to reporters in Mae Sot after seeing off a return flight of Chinese scam center workers from Myanmar, Thai Def Min Phumtham Wechayachai says the dozen flights until Sat carrying 600 home are "all for now" and new talks between China and Myanmar needed for more repatriations.

My analysis for The New Humanitarian. There're many foreign experts on #Myanmar who I respect, but I made a conscious decision to champion Burmese (not Bamar) voices for this story. Thanks for trusting me with your thoughts. You know who you are. #Burma www.thenewhumanitarian.org/analysis/202...

U.S. described unflatteringly on front page of main South Korean right-wing daily as a "security gangster" for its proposal to take Ukrainian rare earths in exchange for military assistance.

Speaking to people over the last few days about this, there's a sense that these cuts are brutal, thoughtless and will empower autocrats across SEA and beyond. USAID is deeply flawed, everyone knows this, but one big loss will be shreds of transparency in an often authoritarian region.

Thailand has cut electricity, internet and fuel supplies to five border areas in Myanmar, in an attempt to choke scam centres, which have put a damper on arrivals of foreign tourists. The move comes as PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra begins her official visit to China www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJMq...

Within Southeast Asia, deep cuts to USAID have already resulted in the suspension or curtailing of a wide range of programs targeting land mine clearance, health services for refugees, and education. Bart Édes and Luke Hunt discuss Trump's impact on the region.