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natehaines.bsky.social
Paid to do p(b | a) p(a) p(a | b) = ————————— p(b) Data Scientist | Computational Psychologist | Devout Bayesian https://bayesianbeginnings.com/
133 posts 784 followers 354 following
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simply amazing

It has been quite a while since I posted my blog on the modeling the Dunning-Kruger effect. I intended for this to be the first of a series on modeling some classic effects in psychology/cognitive science. Any recommendations for the second post in the series? haines-lab.com/post/2021-01...

last of us S2 E2, more like last episode amirite

the moment some unintuitive simulation and empirical results finally click and you know what needs to be done 🤌 a feeling vibe coders can only dream of

SIX YEARS after the initial blog post, this paper is finally published.. what a wild ride - the blog: bit.ly/3GbOqQa - original tweet thread: x.com/Nate__Haines... - published (open access) paper: doi.org/10.1037/met0...

sounds like a black mirror episode

Using this as an excuse to share a great post by @natehaines.bsky.social on modelling and Dunning-Kruger. haines-lab.com/post/2021-01...

yes Yes YES! Feel your worries melt away as you watch the "Raccoon Whisperer" feed 25 loving raccoons in freezing weather. Clip below. Link to full 20 min video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ofp2...

1/6 Hello Bluesky! 👋 Excited to join this community and share my new blog. First post: Using Bayesian hierarchical models to rescue "unreliable" cognitive tasks, with the dot-probe task as my case study. cogpsychreserve.netlify.app/posts/dotpro...

this album slaps

I am surprised that many data scientists (perhaps without a stats background) do not recognize that CUPED is regression. In this post, I show you why you can't spell CUPED without FWL dpananos.github.io/posts/2025-0...

My team at Ledger just released `bermuda`, an open-source library for insurance triangle data manipulation! Check out the repo and docs below to see if it would be useful for your own work: GitHub: github.com/LedgerInvest... Docs: ledger-investing-bermuda-ledger.readthedocs-hosted.com/en/latest/

Please send me your fave blog post you ever wrote. Need some inspiration