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rahmstorf.bsky.social
Climate scientist, professor of Physics of the Oceans in Potsdam. Opinions my own.
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One of the most immediate climate tipping point dangers is an abrupt cooling of the subpolar gyre, with major impacts on 🇪🇺 climate possible in the next decades. 🌊 Great how @swinda.bsky.social Falkena et al. use advanced causal inference methods to tease out the mechanisms! arxiv.org/html/2408.16...

Gesunde Meere sind für unser Überleben als menschliche Zivilisation notwendig. Z.B. stabilisieren sie das Klima - sie nehmen ein Viertel von unserem CO2-Ausstoß auf. www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...

The ocean takes up a quarter of our CO2-emissions. If that share declines as marine ecosystems become increasingly stressed by ocean heating and pollution, we are in trouble. #WorldOceanDay globalcarbonbudget.org

Ocean damage unspeakably awful, says Attenborough www.bbc.com/news/article...

The ocean is the blue heart of our planet. But its rhythms are disrupted by pollution and exploitation. This week, we tabled the 🇪🇺 Ocean Pact. Our strategy to turn the tide towards lasting protection. Monday, our ambitions are going global at the UN Ocean Conference.

Sehr informativer Beitrag im Deutschlandfunk zu unserer neuen Studie über die Rekordhitze im Nordatlantik! Zu dem anthropogenen Erwärmungstrend kamen im Sommer 2023 außergewöhnlich schwache Winde hinzu. Im Interview auch @profmattengland.bsky.social (UNSW). 🌊 www.deutschlandfunk.de/marine-hitze...

Today is anniversary of D-Day, and as I heard this on the radio I thought of oceanography prof Jack Darbyshire, who taught me wave dynamics in Bangor in 1982/83. Darbyshire made the wave forecast for the D-Day landing. Obituary by John Simpson, also ocean prof. 🌊 www.theguardian.com/news/2004/de...

Jetzt gibt’s auch die globale Mai-Temperatur: es war der zweitwärmste Mai seit Beginn der Aufzeichnungen, hinter dem Mai 2024.

So glad to see that the AGU is fighting back against the Trump administration‘s efforts to dismantle the U.S. scientific enterprise! Caving in to authoritarian threats is not an option. In Germany we know too well where that would end. fromtheprow.agu.org/forward-with...

Great article on how a German court has ruled that private companies can be held liable for their share in causing climate damages. It's the polluter pays principle, and as such should be a no-brainer. But the fossil fuel industry has so far thought to be exempt. theconversation.com/one-lawsuit-...

Read the story behind our new study published yesterday in Nature, unfiltered straight from the scientists: 🌊 theconversation.com/unprecedente...

Out today in Nature, our paper on the drivers of the record 2023 summer heating of the North Atlantic. Temperatures warmed to record levels in just a few months. The impacts on climate & ecosystems were severe. A thread on how this work came about and what we found.👇👇🧵 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Our study just out in Nature: the extreme North Atlantic heat in summer 2023 was mainly due to weak winds causing shallow mixed layers, which heat up more quickly. Global warming is causing a trend toward shallow mixed layers, making such extremes more likely. 🌊 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Despite the spanish post, this interview with me in Madrid is in English and covers the #AMOC shutdown risk, climate anxiety, and climate skeptics in social media.

🚨📢 New Publication Alert Our new study shows that the #WestAntarctic #IceSheet repeatedly crossed #TippingPoint thresholds in the past, with important implications for its future stability. Press release: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late... Study: www.nature.com/articles/s43... 🌊🧊⚒️🧪🥼

"Die Hausbesitzer, die künftig bis zu 1600 Euro pro Jahr zusätzlich für ihre Versicherung ausgeben sollen, können wenig dafür." Dass die Verursacher für Schäden bezahlen, sollte eigentlich selbstverständlich sein. www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft...

In 2022, China overtook the United States as the leading country for natural-sciences output. In 2023 China was top overall - according to the Nature Index 2024 Research Leaders: www.nature.com/nature-index... By slashing science funding, the US is handing global science leadership fully to China.

"History tells us that there are times when the dangers of inaction become sufficiently threatening to individuals or the planet that scientists who are able and willing to do so will have to enter the public arena ... This is such a time." www.nature.com/articles/s41...

There are 2 previous historical cases of countries destroying their science and universities, crippling them for decades: Lysenkoism in the USSR and Nazi Germany. The Trump administration will be the 3rd. It's not just budgets but research, institutions, expertise, and training the next generation.

The main political divide today is not left vs right, nor progressive vs conservative. It is between those who care about others and egotists.

NASA’s iconic Goddard Institute for Space Studies—home to Jim Hansen and hundreds more scientists, creator of the GISS model and keeper of the global temperature record—has been evicted from its longstanding NYC office above the “Seinfeld” restaurant. Why? The government told them to move out.

“It’s a recipe for disaster.” Must read.

Klimaskeptiker: “Der kalte Mai in 🇩🇪 widerlegt den Klimawandel!!!” Messdaten: Der Mai in 🇩🇪 war überdurchschnittlich warm. DWD: “Mit einer Mitteltemperatur von 12,7 °C lag der Mai 2025 um 0,6 Grad über dem Wert der Referenzperiode 1961–1990 (12,1 °C).”

New study confirms that the famous 'cold blob' or 'warming hole' observed in the northern Atlantic is caused by a weakening Atlantic overturning circulation. 🌊 www.nature.com/articles/s43...

Science is the most important long-term investment for humanity. The US Trump administration is working to control it in order to suppress science it does not like. But history shows: the consequences of state-dictated science can be catastrophic. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Was ist schlimmer?

That’s not some tragedy that fell upon the world, but a totally predictable (and predicted for well over 3 decades) outcome of fossil fuel use. It must end very quickly to prevent far worse things to come.

BREAKING: Over 30 medical organisations have pledged to boycott advertising and public relations agencies that work with the fossil fuel industry. “Just like health leaders once stood up to Big Tobacco and its advertising, it’s time to stand up to Big Oil.” www.desmog.com/2025/05/22/h...

Amazing differences within the EU. Via prof. Marco te Brömmelstroet on LinkedIn. NB: 2019 data.

The US does not stand for freedom and democracy any more, but is sliding fast into tyranny. Harvard is punished for standing up to this. If you’re in the US and not doing something now, soon you will be unable to do anything. We know this from experience here in Germany.

Climate change threats to Earth's wild animals. Our new paper shows that we have an existential crisis for the world's wild animals. doi.org/10.1093/bios...

Seit über 30 Jahren warnen Klimaforscher vor Extremregen durch #Erderwärmung: die Physik sagt es, die Modelle auch, die Messdaten zeigen seit den 1990ern die signifikante Zunahme. Gestern Frankreich, heute Australien. Es wird schlimmer, solange wir Abwiegler wählen. www.tagesschau.de/ausland/ozea...

Muss ich noch erwähnen, dass Extremniederschläge durch die Erderwärmung stark zunehmen? Das werden sie auch weiter tun, bis wir die Erwärmung gestoppt haben, d.h. klimaneutral wirtschaften. Drei Tote bei Unwetter in Südfrankreich www.tagesschau.de/ausland/euro...

Quality of life is also better in most of Europe.

Wenn die Regierung in den Fängen der fossilen Lobby ist aber die Klimadaten zu eindeutig unerfreulich, dann kann man die Messdaten doch einfach unterdrücken - so das Vorgehen der autoritären US-Regierung. 🤯🫢 taz.de/Bremer-Klima...