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seriousstats.bsky.social
Mostly posting about statistics and Psychology.
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Today, lenacapavir was approved by the FDA as a twice yearly preventive shot! Here's how we got here:

🧵 Yet another data point that theology is often downstream of whatever we personally happen to think about a topic. Extending previous studies, the authors show when you manipulate someone's views on an issue, it influences what they say God & Satan think about that issue. 1/ doi.org/10.1111/bjso...

Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said that he could bar government scientists from publishing in the world’s leading medical journals, instead proposing the creation of “in-house” publications by his agency.

The Free Speech Administration throwing down arguably the biggest sledgehammer against free thought and association in my lifetime.

This is totally insane

RFK Jr. is ending the federal Narcan distribution program credited with the recent steep decline in overdose deaths. This despite his own past heroin addiction and his own brother dying of a drug overdose in 1984.

Honey, we fixed Signal Detection Theory (SDT)! In this preprint, Constantin Meyer-Grant, David Kellen, Sam Harding, and I critically evaluate the (unequal-variance) Gaussian SDT model in recognition memory and pursue the Gumbel-min model as a principled alternative: doi.org/10.31234/osf... 🧵

After returning from an aid trip to Ukraine, I'm deeply disappointed to have been excluded from Putin's sanctions against British MPs. If Putin would kindly let me know what I need to do to receive the great honour of being added to this esteemed list. www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

Getting lots of review and reference requests and reminders over the long bank holiday weekend. With all the AI advances how difficult would it be not to spam these when everybody is on leave ... (Also one reminder came 1 minute after the request ... is that a record?).

A tricky thing about modern society is that no one has any idea when they don’t die. Like, the number of lives saved by controlling air pollution in America is probably over 200,000 per year, but the number of people who think their life was saved by controlling air pollution is zero.

Also, a woman was handcuffed at a subway station in NYC (Franklin Ave) when she intervened asking why a delivery man was asked to show work permit by undercover agents. There is a video of that.

A failure to act is not an act of political neutrality. www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

Meta used at least 16 of my books, and numerous articles, to help train the AI it will use to make billions. Authors, search your name here: www.theatlantic.com/technology/a...

Le Monde reporting that a French scientist traveling to Houston to attend a conference was denied entry to US after a search of his phone & computer revealed messages critical of Trump's science cuts, "which [says CPB] conveyed hatred of Trump & could be qualified as terrorism". Computer confiscated

Our NIH funding for the CONCERN Early Warning System was cancelled last week. It is a powerful AI tool developed by nurses to detect when hospitalized patients are getting worse. We saved many lives in a large trial, showing success in real hospitals. Work on pediatric version was stopped by NIH!

Unfucking believable as CDC is suddenly launching a study into exploring possible links with MMR and autism. I wonder who might have initiated this? 🤔 to be clear There is NO link and this has already been debunked in massive studies 🧪🧵

The CDC recommending vitamin A for measles is like NASA saying Stanley Kubrick faked the 1969 moon landing in a Hollywood studio.

CDC Staff Prohibited From Co-Authoring Papers With World Health Organization Personnel It’s just the latest “Orwellian” crackdown on government scientists www.huffpost.com/entry/cdc-wh...

there is no clearer universal across academic institutions than the dysfunction of a university website — not a day goes by that I don't think of this xkcd

This is very worrying. The first thing anyone working with data should understanding is that data can be inaccurate and it can be misleading - especially of the context is not understood. There is a myth that big data resolves issues with data quality or integrity. It doesn't.

Wrote Scientific Reports February 8 2024 that a newly published meta-analysis on mindfulness & brain morphology excluded all null-findings and therefore ... by definition found a relationship. Still no proper response from the journal (other then many "we'll look into it"). It's been a year now.

Friends, I have written you a book on forensic metascience. It is free. You can have it. Happy St. Valentine's Day. If you wish to give me a gift back, you can use it to cause trouble - the greatest gift of all. open.substack.com/pub/jamescla...

StopTB has a new report estimating the impact of the foreign aid freeze. It's useful to understand the huge impact that global health efforts have everyday, and worrying. Some highlights... 🧵

Thread. The damage these fuckwits are doing around the world is incalculable.

Dishonest charts are coming from all directions, and they're only going to hit harder. Unless we push back. So, an interactive guide: Defense Against Dishonest Charts flowingdata.com/projects/dis...

New paper with colleagues at NTU and beyond (led by Professor Karen Slade) on understanding patterns of mortality following prison lease. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Whenever you hear someone sneer about scientific research that seems useless to them — “they’re studying the spit of lizards?!” — remind them that’s exactly how we got Ozempic. globalnews.ca/news/9793403...

1. Today the NIH director issued a new directive slashing overhead rates to 15%. I want to provide some context on what that means and why it matters. grants.nih.gov/grants/guide...

the human cost www.nytimes.com/2025/02/06/h...

The only suprising thing about this is that he's resigned. Muskworld is indelibly linked to white supremicism. (Good work from @klong.bsky.social)

Periodic reminder the world of data analysis cannot be meaningfully categorised into "machine learning" and "statistics". Two cultures with substantial overlap in the use of methods (e.g. logistic regression), analytical goals (e.g. causal inference) and history jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...

🏰 PhD position on computational modelling | collective dynamics | cultural evolution 🏰 Get in touch with any questions you might have and join me in beautiful Marburg! stellenangebote.uni-marburg.de/jobposting/c... (Deutsch) stellenangebote.uni-marburg.de/jobposting/3... (English)

Donald Trump has ordered schools and universities to be even more deferential to male students accused of sexual violence. www.thedailybeast.com/trump-orders...

NEW: Sources tell my office that Treasury Secretary Bessent has granted DOGE *full* access to this system. Social Security and Medicare benefits, grants, payments to government contractors, including those that compete directly with Musk's own companies. All of it.

I think it’s important to understand that they aren’t going to crater the economy as part of some 11-dimensional chess move. They are going to crater the economy because they are very, very stupid, and cannot handle being told “no.”

Happy Large Boulder the Size of a Small Boulder Day to all who celebrate!

This is insanity. If you're researching Tay Sachs Disease or Sickle Cell or hypertension understanding the makeup of your sample--age, gender, ethnicity--is central and necessary. www.statnews.com/2025/01/23/f...