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skyrior.bsky.social
Math major, Econ PhD.
139 posts 7 followers 30 following
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This is just so shameful from the Democrats. They should have given exactly zero votes to all of Trump's cabinet picks.

submitted 115 days ago • 0 comments

apnews.com/live/trump-p... I want to take a moment to thank all the pro-Palestinian voters who didn't vote for Harris.

submitted 141 days ago • 0 comments

#TheGuardian #Microbe www.theguardian.com/science/2024... archive.is/D4Aqr Experts warn that mirror bacteria, constructed from mirror images of molecules found in nature, could become established in the environment and slip past the immune defences of natural organisms.

submitted 195 days ago • 3 comments

I have an op-ed in the NYT today about how to reduce crime. The key idea, based on decades of strong research evidence: focus on increasing the probability of getting caught, not the punishment. www.nytimes.com/2024/12/07/o...

submitted 201 days ago • 33 comments

www.nytimes.com/2024/12/07/o...

submitted 200 days ago • 0 comments

``Consumer surplus lost after a ban on cash payments is large, equal to 40-50% of total expenditures on cash-fare Uber rides. Welfare losses mostly fall on the least-advantaged households." Recently accepted to REStud, from Alvarez and Argente: www.restud.com/consumer-sur...

submitted 206 days ago • 0 comments

Recently accepted to #REStud, ``The Long-Run Labor Market Effects of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement,'' from Kovak and Morrow: www.restud.com/the-long-run...

submitted 206 days ago • 0 comments

“On the pardon decision, like his stubborn insistence on running for a second term he couldn’t win, Biden chose to prioritize his own feelings over the defense of his country,” writes Jonathan Chait: theatln.tc/uGy4XNW0

submitted 206 days ago • 814 comments

This whole discourse over the #HunterBiden #pardon is so disappointing in that it reveals just how many people don't actually have moral integrity or a consistent belief system and are just engaging in tribal warfare.

submitted 206 days ago • 1 comment

🚨Major new version🚨 Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models Joint w/ @sarafish.bsky.social & @ranshorrer.bsky.social LLMs are automating many business decisions. Pricing might be next (or is already). What if multiple firms, in good faith, to use off-the-shelf-LLMs for pricing? 1/3 #EconSky

submitted 210 days ago • 5 comments

Some of the most important lottery anomalies from the behavioral risk literature (e.g., probability weighting and loss aversion) actually have nothing to do with risk. They also arise in perfectly deterministic settings. Lead article in the latest AER issue: www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

submitted 211 days ago • 16 comments

Finally a good take.

submitted 212 days ago • 0 comments

A new stylized fact about firm growth: The shift from labor to intermediate inputs reflects high substitution elasticity and monopsony and pushes down the labor share, from Matthias Mertens and Benjamin Schoefer https://www.nber.org/papers/w33172

submitted 213 days ago • 1 comment

Just published in the Journal of Public Economics: "All is not lost: Organized crime and social capital formation" By @pbuonanno.bsky.social, Irene Ferrari, & Alessandro Saia www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

submitted 213 days ago • 1 comment

Academic intergrity is an important and difficult topic to cover well. But I think the gossipy speculative one-dimensional tone of this article is not constructive, does a poor job of conveying what is actually going on & undermines the important topic being covered. A long thread w/ some examples:

submitted 218 days ago • 6 comments

The NYT published numerous stories on the dangers of Project 2025 and a Trump presidency before the election. Its editorial board called him a threat. How can we move forward as a society when a large contingent on the left now suffers from the same disassociation with reality that the right does?

submitted 217 days ago • 0 comments

Here is a test for the civility on BlueSky: A movie cannot be a Christmas movie unless Christmas plays a central mechanism in the transition of the narrative from A to B. So Die Hard is clearly NOT a Christmas movie because Christmas changes nothing in the story.

submitted 218 days ago • 1298 comments

How do LLMs learn to reason from data? Are they ~retrieving the answers from parametric knowledge🦜? In our new preprint, we look at the pretraining data and find evidence against this: Procedural knowledge in pretraining drives LLM reasoning ⚙️🔢 🧵⬇️

submitted 217 days ago • 38 comments

Online, people recommend ways to wash your walls, “refresh’’ your furniture season by season, and organize everything in your pantry in clear acrylic bins. “This labor isn’t time-saving,” @annielowrey.bsky.social writes. “It is never-ending.”

submitted 218 days ago • 7 comments

Today's edition of "📈📉 papers you should know" is Dezsö Szalay's @reveconstudies.bsky.social paper, "The Economics of Clear Advice and Extreme Options". The paper concerns itself with information acquisition choices under delegated decision making. Let's go through an example...

submitted 218 days ago • 3 comments

PNAS special feature: Half a Century of Cultural Evolution www.pnas.org/topic/565

submitted 219 days ago • 0 comments

🧵 I'll talk up a recent paper I loved working on. We show why meaningful replications need to be based on deeper theoretical understanding & stronger empirical foundations. It's a theory paper like our other metascientific work. 🧪 #metasci #philsci #stats royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/full/10....

submitted 649 days ago • 3 comments