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szerlasz.bsky.social
Researcher at SUITS in Stockholm ▪️ Former Mercator-IPC Fellow ▪️ PhD from University of Graz ▪️ Interested in Turkey's foreign policy
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Informative quick briefing on why Hungary is such an important piece of the Turkey-Russia-EU gas pipeline puzzle, by László Szerencsés for the Stockholm University Institute for Turkish Studies. www.su.se/institute-fo... @szerlasz.bsky.social

Hungary hosted the informal summit of the Organisation of Turkic States on 20-21 May in Budapest. In his speech, Viktor Orbán emphasized the organisation’s role in Hungary’s energy diversification efforts. See my earlier report for the background.

Orban making overtures to Simion made sense from one perspective only: to gain an illiberal ally in the EU Council. Orban chose to make this incredibly costly gamble, essentially betraying the Transylvanian voters his party spent decades cultivating. And he lost. This is likely consequential.

Hungary's "inoagent" law is here Increasingly trailing behind in the polls and facing a fiscal meltdown, this looks like part of a hail-mary attempt to eviscerate and intimidate critical media, NGOs, shut down public debate, and, likely, to prepare the disqualification of opposition candidates.

This seems like an existential threat to Hungary's independent sector. Besides practically forbidding any criticism of Hungary's "democracy" if an organization or media outlet receives foreign funding (including EU money), it would make receiving domestic funding difficult as well.

1/🚨 Publication alert 🚨- My report on Turkey-Hungary relations is out! What started as an economic diversification strategy turned into a symbolic alliance after Turkey's failed 2016 coup attempt, and Hungary's isolation inside the EU in the same period. ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/Content/Imag...

As the EU is about to propose banning Russian gas imports by the end of 2027, see my brief on how Turkey and Hungary have challenged these efforts. www.su.se/institute-fo...

As the EU is about to propose banning Russian gas imports by the end of 2027, see my brief on how Turkey and Hungary have challenged these efforts. www.su.se/institute-fo...

The latest SUITS Policy Brief by Hungarian Turkey expert @szerlasz.bsky.social is an absolute must-read. Cooperation between Turkey and Hungary on gas exports seriously complicates the EU’s efforts to diversify from its over-reliance on Russian gas.

The EU’s gas diversification efforts are being challenged. My latest SUITS Brief explores how Turkey’s energy hub ambitions and Hungary’s energy policies undermine the EU’s efforts, and offers a way to move forward. 🧵👇1/5

The @munsecconf.bsky.social (MSC) report on multipolarity has some interesting findings on Turkey. A greater share of respondents in the BRICS countries without RU see Turkey as a "great power" than in the West. This is a result of Turkey's diplomatic focus on the developing world. 1/3

1/🚨 Publication alert 🚨- My report on Turkey-Hungary relations is out! What started as an economic diversification strategy turned into a symbolic alliance after Turkey's failed 2016 coup attempt, and Hungary's isolation inside the EU in the same period. ipc.sabanciuniv.edu/Content/Imag...

This NYT piece describes the devastation being wrought in the global health sector by the foreign assistance freeze. Let me say a few words about what this looks like in the sector I work in, often called democracy and governance (DRG). 🧵

First publication of the year now out and open access in International Politics! This one is very close to heart as it is the last one we (@mmkutlay and I) wrote with dear Fuat Keyman. link.springer.com/content/pdf/...

I've joined the Institute for Turkish Studies at Stockholm University as a postdoctoral researcher.

On Friday,President #Erdoğan’s intention to use the #Syria case as a powerful lever in domestic politics became clear.The winning card is back in play. He described the world as “an arena for strong leaders,” arguing that #Turkey would struggle to navigate such challenges under CHP leadership.

This is the best overview I've seen so far of the current picture on the ground in Syria.

The fall of the Assad regime is likely to provide Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan with freer rein in Syria—but it will also heighten the risk of instability and extremism that could spill over into Turkey, I argue in my latest @foreignaffairs.com piece www.foreignaffairs.com/turkey/how-t...

Turkey is navigating its role in legitimizing the sovereignty of the new HTS-led Syrian interim government, but it remains cautious. This is due to the fears that the HTS will get out of hand, which could jeopardize Ankara’s relations with the EU and the US. 🧵 1/

Ankara has two strategic priorities in Syria in the short-term: i) mobilise regional actors&international community towards garnering regional support&international recognition for the transitional government in Damascus, and