Profile avatar
winmonroe.bsky.social
PhD candidate in Finance at Imperial College Business School ‖ Banking, Monetary Policy, Crises, Funding Markets ‖ via Federal Reserve, IMF, BoE ‖ UPF-BSE, Johns Hopkins, Georgetown ‖ www.winmonroe.com
550 posts 1,737 followers 1,525 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter

Initial claims jump to 245K NSA, as would be expected this time of year. Claims still w/i the band of recent non-recessionary years, both in headcount terms (1st) & normalized to employment (2nd). Continuing claims however undoubtedly higher, though not substantially so far (3rd)

At academic conferences, some US professors are having to video call in because they are concerned about their ability to reenter the country if they attend a conference abroad. Deeply unfair and of course self-destructive to US academia.

A fun read, as always

www.ft.com/content/7962...

This is such a fun episode

Could Trump’s ‘big beautiful bill’ kill the OFR and accidentally sabotage SOFR? https://www.ft.com/content/7962a211-a663-4ec0-99ed-1bde012bb0d8

I am an adult and I can eat cake whenever I want to.

1/ 🚨 Hot off the press! Our study “Political Expression of Academics on Social Media” with @trfetzer.com is now peer-reviewed & live in Nature Human Behaviour @nature.com 🎉. Thread 👇

what a chart

This chart shows that in the City of London (the tiny historical part of London in red), bicycles have overtaken cars to become the most common vehicle. Let's make this throughout Greater London! www.economist.com/britain/2025...

Excited for the EO banning Taco Tuesday as hate speech

Really, the degree to which crypto is just gambling is striking. However many years we are into this, it's still not getting used as money.

Better to ask shadow president Stephen Miller

Bad manners breakfast burrito reminded me of the glorious American hangover food from college. A real treat to finally get something like this in London.

Obituary of moral philosopher Alasdair MacIntyre FBA www.theguardian.com/books/2025/m...

If you want a sneak peak into our future imagine the politicization of everything. Whether the government performs a function entirely dependent on whether the government likes you. You want your social security check? Small business loan? Let's have a look at your facebook posts first

It’s Mary Anning’s birthday, so time to share @katebeaton.bsky.social’s brilliant cartoon again.

www.dallasfed.org/news/speeche...

London has an understandably bad rep for Mexican food. But while the average taco is pretty poor, there are a few - and just a few - taquerias that could hold their own just about anywhere

📄 NEW: ~20M Americans have "significant" medical debt. This isn’t inevitable, it’s the result of policy choices. A decade of gaps in Medicaid & market failures have crushed mobility for millions. @socio-steve.bsky.social explores actions that can address it: rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...

tfw it's been so long that package updates are breaking your code...

New BIS WP out!! “Collateralized lending in private credit” We use loan-level data for the US over the past 25 years to document that behind the notable rise of private credit there is an equally notable shift towards collateralized lending 1/ www.bis.org/publ/work126...

New sign to tap

Martin Wolf pointing out that its absurd that EU/China save massive amounts of money and lend it to the US instead of meeting unmet needs. Also nice he icludes the $500bn that simply vanish each year www.ft.com/content/c715...

Fantastic first visit to the Yard Theatre for The Glass Menagerie, superbly staged and completely absorbing from start to finish Time is the longest distance between two places

Excellent thread here

Some light reading for the weekend on Treasury market liquidity and the overnight reverse repo on.ft.com/3RWF8Kr

Great selection of articles on fixed income markets in the latest issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives: www.aeaweb.org/issues/803

Really good explanations from Karthik

US policy chaos has already damaged the economy, by undermining confidence and forcing companies to postpone capex and hiring. That was the story of Q1. But the real recession risk comes from lower earnings over the summer, and how the corporate sector responds.. 🧵

It’s that magical time of the year again, when we worry that the broken US political system will result in the unnecessary sovereign default of the world’s premier reserve asset and usher in financial Ragnarok. on.ft.com/3YB80M2

"But trust bosses are warning that delivering what for some equates to 12% of their entire budget in “efficiency savings” will affect patients and waiting times." Is Labour aiming to lose in 2029 with the NHS as the top voting issue? www.theguardian.com/society/2025...

Going back and looking at an old project after a very long time is such a bewildering process...

We’ve just published a new report, based on our annual economics conference. It distils the big policy debates on the European economy post-Draghi, drawing on the brainpower around the table. Some journalist friends convinced me it’s worth sharing — so here’s a thread. 1/x

Now that word is out, I have professional news to share...

The renewed interest in a version of thinking person’s mercantilism is an intellectual dead end that doesn’t even really know who it’s *for*. Ghosts of factory workers past is my best approximation.

Increasingly Powerful Trans Person Capable Of Using Every Single Bathroom At Once

😭😭😭😭