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wxmanms1.bsky.social
35 year meteorologist in warning/forecast provision and research, now CEO of Balanced Weather LLC, Disney/Peanuts fan, golfer, sports fan, TK Little. For more weather info go to https://balancedweather.substack.com/about
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I was honored to join my meteorologist colleagues Jeff Renner and (longtime friend) @blamarre.bsky.social in this event with @cantwell.senate.gov talking about the threats to NOAA, and the chance to talk about the importance of both OAR and NWS to our country. www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBJq...

May 2025 was the 2nd warmest May on record globally. Here are the temperature departures from the 1991-2020 normal.

Our study just out in Nature: the extreme North Atlantic heat in summer 2023 was mainly due to weak winds causing shallow mixed layers, which heat up more quickly. Global warming is causing a trend toward shallow mixed layers, making such extremes more likely. 🌊 www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Very ominous: Trump administration officials delayed and censored a govt forecast because it predicts an increase in the nation’s trade deficit in farm goods later this year www.politico.com/news/2025/06...

worth remembering that when Trump announced a travel ban in 2017, people literally went to airports to protest. Eight years later, Trump announces a new one and it's not even front page news. We're the frogs and the water is getting awfully hot.

White skies over SWFL this evening as clearing occurs behind earlier storms. Impressive SAL (Saharan Air Layer) overhead that likely contributed to gusty nature of today’s storms.

My dogs make their first appearance in a Balanced Weather newsletter, as I talk about a surprise visit to our storm shelter, and an active looking severe weather setup for late this week. open.substack.com/pub/balanced...

HAWLEY: Let's see the Charles Manson chart. You don't think it's a little bit anomalous that Manson has so many more criminal charges against him than Mother Theresa? KATE SHAW: Are you fucking stupid or something?

Today, Sec Commerce Lutnick will testify in the Senate on the President's 2026 budget request which guts NOAA. Any Senator that cares about nat'l security must ask him how these cuts will keep Americans & their communities safe. @councilonstrategicrisks.org wrote about NOAA's natsec benefits here ⬇️

A cold front sent the temperatures to plummet in the first days of June in Northern CHINA with 6 stations breaking their June cold records. As mentioned,the incoming hot airmass from Central Asia will change everything 44/45C expected in Xinjiang and >40C in Henan and Hebei

Is that the Enterprise taking off from Sedona?

It's kind of amazing that humans managed to land people on the Moon 56 years before this post was created.

I know quite a few of my scientist friends who have said if/when they lose their position they will look to go a completely different career direction.

Alex Jones, who spent years ranting about shadowy government mass surveillance technology, is now stanning for Palantir

Latest models are trending towards a more supercellular mode during the day an possibly early evening before coalescing into a strong MCS. Multiple rounds of isolated cells will be possible during the day before the main event in the early evening.

SOUTHEAST ASIA RECORD HEAT Record heat never ends in SE Asia. Tonight it was the June hottest night in history at Catarman,PHILIPPINES with a minimum temperature of 26.6C and extreme humidity. Marine heat waves keep sweeping large swaths of the Tropics.

Gonna say something obvious to most: real masculinity defends the defenseless, punches up not down, has compassion, and fights only on behalf of others to battle injustice or evil. It doesn’t just lift weights and tweet in all caps and listen to Rogan and grow a beard to feel accepted by other men

72-hour precip totals for Arizona. Note several 1" amounts. Impressive for June! #azwx

ICYMI, I want to reshare my BalancedWx science video with Dr. Tony Lyza at NSSL. Tony shared a ton of great info about the history of both the original Fujita scale and EF scale and what his work shows about tornado rating consistency. balancedweather.substack.com/p/balancedwx...

It’s a real Midwestern series now

Man comes to the US from Lebanon. Starts out delivering pizzas, becomes a Nobel winning neuroscientist. Trump freezes his funding, he gets an email from China offering to move his lab “any city, any university I want" with guaranteed funding for 20 years. What are we doing?

We had this poster of the Grand Island tornadoes in our meteorology classroom at SLU

Flash flood warning for northwest Riverside and southwest San Bernardino counties until 7:15 p.m.! #CAwx 1-2” of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.25-0.75 in/hr. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5-1.5” are possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Scientists have been doing plenty of science -- and doing it well. Now they spend (waste?) time all fearing that their grants or jobs could be terminated depending on which way the wind blows that day.

Congrats to @kateshaw.bsky.social on not letting this barely sentient haircut bullshit his way past her.

Flash flood emergencies in effect along the Kansas Turnpike from eastern Wichita metro to El Dorado, radar showing 4-5" of rain last few hours. substack.com/@balancedwea...

“The numbers that are being proposed would close the tribal colleges. They would not be able to sustain.”

Slow-moving thunderstorms present a flash flood threat with rainfall rates up to 1.5 in/hr in Southern California, Southern Nevada and Northwestern Arizona this afternoon. Local accumulations of 2-3" are possible, according to the Weather Prediction Center. www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/met...

A million years ago, this was a national scandal. Today, it is just an every day occurrence that we all tacitly accept.

I am not sure if any of you know this: SWCC and EACC do not have any Meteorologists on staff this summer because of the DRP "Fork In The Road." And now the rest of the GACCs have to try to patch that during a summer where everyone is likely to be busy. This was from self-manufactured DOGE stupidity.

Talked this morning about the USFS seasonal wildfire outlook showing above normal activity for many areas this summer. Also highlighted NHC's first tropical area of interest for the season and an increasing severe weather risk later in the week. open.substack.com/pub/balanced...

Man, it's really hard to understand how our government and political system has ended up where it has after watching this insightful analysis from Politico

Denver's had significantly more rain than Seattle since May 1! Rain totals since May 1 (averages in parentheses): 🌧️ Denver (DIA): 3.88" (2.20") 🌧️ Seattle: 2.06" (2.25") 🌧️ Portland, OR: 1.92" (2.51") #COwx

I cannot get over these cops wearing night vision to arrest a dude on a Southwest Airlines flight in broad daylight.

Since the 1940s, the engine driving U.S. economic and military competitiveness has been federal support of research universities. Now Trump is sabotaging a research and development pipeline that is the envy of the world. wapo.st/3FDsQEg

Watched that aurora substorm roll in online— watched the GOES-18 Magnetometer fall and then snap higher, and watched the substorm light up the sky in front of a live feed in Maine. Obviously not comparable to seeing in real life (too far south for this one to break through the city lights) but neat

It's a starting place, not the finish line 🤦‍♂️ FEMA's down a third of its personnel. Its hurricane plans need updating. The dedicated FEMA planners know this, but is it supported by leadership that reportedly doesn't even know it's hurricane season? www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

The beauty of a G4 storm. Seeing the auroras overhead will never get old 💗💚 Taken north of Great Falls shortly after 1 AM June 1st

Thank you so much for this John and NBC6. This should tell you how concerned people are about where things stand - and if the OMB budget comes to pass it will only get worse. Like I talked about here it’s not just NOAA or NWS. It’s the whole fed foundation. open.substack.com/pub/balanced...