Very roughly: Red Wall ~30 seats Southern England where seats are LD-Con marginals ~200 seats In fairness, a person who followed UK political news will have seen coverage in inverse proportion. - ThreadSky

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mariosrichards.bsky.social • 16 hours ago

Very roughly:

Red Wall ~30 seats
Southern England where seats are LD-Con marginals ~200 seats

In fairness, a person who followed UK political news will have seen coverage in inverse proportion.

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theramblingelf.bsky.social•16 hours ago

I sort of roughly knew it but seeing it like this is actually really useful. Would be quite interesting to see the whole UK broken down into this kind of summary (obviously there will be a chunk of exceptions to the broad generalisations)

mariosrichards.bsky.social•15 hours ago

Well, "this kind of summary" is a bit of a misnomer because the "Red Wall" analysis was a really specific subgroup.

But here's a vanilla cluster analysis breaking UK constituencies down by vote choice (looks like using census data):

https://medium.com/analytics-vidhya/segmenting-uk-constituencies-using-unsupervised-random-forest-boruta-and-k-means-clustering-2d21f6c3b368

mariosrichards.bsky.social•15 hours ago

It's more of machine-learning tutorial than electoral analysis - only a bit of that at the end - so that's mostly 'exercise for the reader'.

Interesting how little it maps onto the terms commonly used in discourse.

mariosrichards.bsky.social•15 hours ago

Maybe I'll sit down, do a version myself *and set it up so it can explain itself to me a bit more*.

mariosrichards.bsky.social•16 hours ago

(Also, the Red Wall voted Labour, not Reform - but I guess you could replace that with the 5 seats they got and the next 25 strongest seats for Reform)

mariosrichards.bsky.social•16 hours ago

"This pyramid - it is very expensive and almost all the cost comes from the lower 4/5ths - could we not just build the top?"

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