Opta have us at 77% likelihood to go down. On balance, that looks about right. #pafc - ThreadSky

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llortaton.bsky.social • 43 days ago

Opta have us at 77% likelihood to go down.

On balance, that looks about right.

#pafc

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I feel like, on the basis of the last two games, not having won a league game since Portsmouth and having Burnley and Sunderland next, that is optimistic

llortaton.bsky.social•43 days ago

The 23% largely comes from the fact that there’s still a long way to go (remember QPR and Wednesday last year?)

shitargochants.bsky.social•43 days ago

Weird that I'm oddly optimistic for Burnley? Think having no expectation of doing anything other than defending (ala Brentford, Stoke) might suit us.

tomlynes93.bsky.social•43 days ago

As soon as a game finishes, and the heartbreak fades, I rebuild a bit of optimism like this, that one performance could help us turn a corner...

shitargochants.bsky.social•43 days ago

I float between "our squad is barely league two standard" and "there's no reason we can't beat Liverpool if they all play well" too 😂

vickeryt.bsky.social•43 days ago

🤣🤣

argylecrazy.bsky.social•43 days ago

You back on the crack again?

shitargochants.bsky.social•43 days ago

Can't deny

tomlynes93.bsky.social•43 days ago

Yeah, I keep looking at the historical table from this time last year and keep telling myself "we could get out of it", QPR were 5 a drift after 27 games on this date last year... I'm just not overly confident without a) signings, b) coaches, c) player concentration in games...

nickpafc7.bsky.social•43 days ago

So effectively 4 pound to bet will get you 5. Too skinny odds to go with that but I’m certain that they’re right.

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