All models are wrong and all that but it is a recognised model. However, models need inputs and they set elasticity of demand to 4. Which implies all consumers will just buy the US equivalent of the good next week. Which implies those US suppliers will all magically exist next week.
But i think the govt will see this as a "there was nothing else on top of it so far" and assume nothing else is to come. The govy are basically bragging that the mobster down the street never messes with them because you pay through your nose for "protection" and lets them eat for free
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