MAN CITY 🆚 LEICESTER CITY
📊 NETxG: MCI 2.04 | LEI 0.90
- MCI w/ 2nd best NETxG (2.04) & 48% chances 2+ goals.
- MCI 47% chance clean sheet, but hard to trust.
- MCI balanced attack will focus in situational mismatches instead of designed plays into zone.
- Marmoush to be productive as focal point.
📊 NETxG: MCI 2.04 | LEI 0.90
- MCI w/ 2nd best NETxG (2.04) & 48% chances 2+ goals.
- MCI 47% chance clean sheet, but hard to trust.
- MCI balanced attack will focus in situational mismatches instead of designed plays into zone.
- Marmoush to be productive as focal point.
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Comments
📊 NETxG: NEW 1.54 | BRE 1.36
- NEW central zone showing how CMs create for Isak.
- Parity in the data in a game seemingly very difficult to predict. NEW slight edge in the data, but variance, game state and BRE preventive tactics will dictate over stats.
📊 NETxG: SOU 0.54 | CRY 2.22
- CRY gameweek-high NETxG (2.22), SOU gameweek-low NetxG (0.54).
- CRY 53% chance of multiple goals - best of GW30.
- Muñoz to profit from both defensive and attacking output.
- Expecting Mateta to produce making his return to league play.
📊 NETxG: LIV 1.81 | EVE 0.89
- Expect EVE midfield to blow up any creativity in that zone, highlighting the importance of the flanks.
- Not buying LIV 48% chance of a cleansheet as indicated by the goal predictor. EVE rising.
- LIV 44% chance of multiple goals.
📊 NETxG: CHE 1.71 | TOT 1.13
- CHE best zonal for Palmer exploiting central area (4.5).
- TOT to resort to counterattacks as CHE CMs dominate midfield.
- TOT 76% chance 0-1 goal, less than 8 chances predicted, 3/9 BC scored in last 6 away.
📊 A data-driven snapshot of the standout teams from the week.
CRY: Top NetxG, top goal predictor, unsupported by zonals.
LIV: Flank play avoiding EVE CMs.
MCI: 2nd tier and unsupported by zonals.
BOU: Top for zonals and 2nd tier elsewhere.
NEW & CHE: Zonals - central & left.
I appreciate the time you spend engaging with my thoughts on the game.
If you got something out of this, I’d love to hear your thoughts -what stood out, what you agree/disagree with, or anything else on your mind.
Enjoy the matches and see you in 31!
#EPLMatchups #staysharp🪓