Canadian federal elections are much more difficult to game than America's. All our ballots are hand-counted, one set of rules rather than a different set for each state and no electoral college.
The switch back to Trump here was ostensibly driven by global inflationary trends that have been bad for incumbents
Of course, if one wanted to bring about an end to inflation, my first approach would not be sweeping austerity, and definitely not tariffs on vital economies closely tied to our own
People losing their government jobs, military jobs, media jobs and having their SNAP benefits and Medicare/Medicade currently threatened are making people of all stripes pissed off.
Yep and think they going hard on it, will affect millions with in months if they pull the triggers they say they going to, talk about driving into a wall
well, yeah. The Conservative leader is nothing but a tim bit Trump, and no one wants that. We are all witnessing (and sadly having to endure as well) the gong show that is Donald Trump, so we are learning from our neighbour's mistake.
Conservatives have long been the pro-US-ties party in Canadian politics. Low-tax, pro-deregulation.
Because they're joining all the rest of Canada in standing up and denouncing the big Velveeta-colored bully to the south, they currently have a patriotism-lite vibe.
And helped grab the flag back from Maple MAGA for normal Canadians. It's no longer feels like - oh, look an asshole- when you see a flag on a vehicle or being displayed in certain ways.
Trudeau has been targeted by the right around the world because he was such an excellent Prime Minister. With the amount of money and resources arrayed against the man I could have St. Teresa exhumed, de-canonized, excommunicated and re-buried face down on unconsecrated ground.
Well yes and no. You have worded it that the cons have lost 26 points. What has happened is a slight dip in the cons but huge dips in third parties as they coalesce around the best anti-con candidate
Trum’s admin being so loudly unhinged has negatively polarized people outside the US to the far right. We saw it happen in Germany, it’s happening in Canada, and it’ll keep happening.
Similar thing in Austria, 3 parties that Center right, social democrats and liberal party joined hands and built a coalition government sidelining the super right wing guy… 😳
Honestly, that's what's weird about this particular iteration of authoritarianism here: it feels like Grover Norquist on steroids as much as every other awful thing. At the end of the day it all adds up to "yay hierarchy and cruelty," but...
idk, didn't old school fascists offer some carrots along with the sticks for the Herrenvolk, at least at first? I mean, *besides* the joys of hate and sadism? Like, material benefits?
That's broadly accurate, but doesn't tell the whole story--the Conservatives haven't actually lost all that much support. Rather, the Liberals dramatically increased their support at the expense of smaller parties, notably the left-wing New Democratic Party...but Trump is very much the main reason.
The initial gains come at the expense of the NDP, but it’s now starting to bleed from conservative support. You can see it at the most recent data points.
I don't disagree--the Conservatives are definitely on the decline. Just wanted to correct the notion that Trump had cost them 26% (he cost them a 26% lead, but not primarily by reducing their support).
I suppose the argument is that the NDP support is switching to the most likely alternative to stand up to Trump in the Liberals. I sure as shit don’t trust PP to defend Canada. He’d sell us out faster than Danielle Smith at an Oilers game. So even myself a lefter than NDP voter, would go Liberal.
My reasons for being reluctant to vote NDP this time have more to do with my rage at them for coming out against the carbon tax...mind you, the Liberals are against it now too. So decent chance I'll vote Green?
I am...not delighted by our current options. But Poilievre's the worst of them.
Still voting NDP myself bc I love my MP, but anecdotally we're seeing a *lot* of voters concerned about strategic voting to keep PP out and to be honest I don't blame them.
In the immediate past, yes (though still more NDP than Conservative). But over the slightly longer term, the Conservatives still have the same support as they did last October/November, while the Liberals and NDP are both at levels they haven’t seen in many years.
It's looking a lot less like a landslide for the Conservatives, so I will take it! (Though obviously still concerned about the general direction of the country, etc, as we probably all are.)
It's somewhat unfortunate, because in many ways the NDP is preferable to the Liberals. But Trump really made the majority of Canadian voters who don't want a Conservative government consolidate behind the Liberals (and did also cost the Conservatives *some* support).
Also worth noting that the Conservatives aren't really pro-Trump (though a shrinking but still significant segment of their base is)--they're just seen (rightly, in my view) as insufficiently *anti*-Trump.
I could tell the NDP were preferable because the article calls the Liberals left-of-center, which usually means status quo, with a slight leftist bent. Hahaha.
The traitional book on them is that they campaign from the left and govern from the centre or even centre right--they're traditionally good at using rhetoric to make Canadians *feel* progressive without actually doing much (though Trudeau has been a bit more lefty than most Liberal Prime Ministers).
Suddenly, it's a hockey fight. Canadians do petty like no one on earth, and Trump has handed the Liberals a War Banner.
Polievre has no answer for this, and doesn't have much time to find one.
Comments
Maple MAGA mimics the same words as the orange menace.
Trump "America first”
Poilievre "Canada first”
Any questions?
Both these aspects should suggest the liberals are in command right now.
Of course, if one wanted to bring about an end to inflation, my first approach would not be sweeping austerity, and definitely not tariffs on vital economies closely tied to our own
#markcarneyPM
#pierrepollievreisminitrumpmaplemaga
Look to the US and run from the same mistakes people made here.
Because they're joining all the rest of Canada in standing up and denouncing the big Velveeta-colored bully to the south, they currently have a patriotism-lite vibe.
It'll be fun to watch.
Also the flags and stickers have completely disappeared from pickup trucks.
Trudeau stepped down so he's can't be Ford's bogeyman anymore.
Polievre, if he won, is mini-Trump and would be hated by next year when Ford is supposed to have his election.
anyway.
I am...not delighted by our current options. But Poilievre's the worst of them.
(I'm NDP, volunteer for them and everything, but tbh right now Anything But Tory will do.)
It helps to be able to see the consequences of electing these…gentlemen…in the flesh.
Polievre has no answer for this, and doesn't have much time to find one.
*jumping up and down in joy*