Two caveats. If you add polling numbers for "Reform" and the Tories together there is a big enough gap over Lab/Lib Dems to leave room for defections and still give a right-wing majority at the election.
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You can not simply aggregate - until know the 2029 record + how that lands with a third of Reform who detest the Tories [fringe parties? not voting? greens?], the third of Conservatives who dislike Farage [hold nose? vote LibDem?] and esp the FPTP map, with big headaches for right in south & north
Thanks. I am not trying to predict the next election. I am trying to point out a danger, and progressives have not been good at spotting that so far. The assumption that there is no way that Farage and the Tories could come to an agreement seems to me wrong.
Second if world economic conditions get worse there will be a sense of crisis and Labour will get the blame. People will likely turn to the right, particularly if they stand on a disguised platform of reform rather than their reactionary intentions.
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