My favoured Trend line for Global warming moves way more than I expected
GMST Anomaly data is noisy. The loess-30-yr trend line shifts as the latest data is added
E.g In hindsight we might see that we crossed 1.5C years earlier than initially thought. Look at 1.25C moving from Dec 2022 to Jul 2020
GMST Anomaly data is noisy. The loess-30-yr trend line shifts as the latest data is added
E.g In hindsight we might see that we crossed 1.5C years earlier than initially thought. Look at 1.25C moving from Dec 2022 to Jul 2020
Comments
0.03C is the biggest drop: 0.67C (1992) to 0.64C (1994)
1.38C (Nov 2024) unlikely to drop below 1.35C, if things continue similar to the past.