Yeah I know. I'm grasping at straws. What I'm actually dreading is Reform doing well and Labour thinking that means they should go all in on the immigrant bloodlust
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Maybe I'm just to sanguine about it, but my sense based on the council by-election performance since the GE is that Reform will way under perform expectations and the Lib Dems will do very well.
LDs are the anti-tory here and the Tories are Reform-lite; it's been heading more LD every year and will prob continue. The mayor is the one to watch, as it *was* Tory, scraped Lab with STV LD lending, but now it's FPTP again so will probably go back Tory. Except there's Ref and Gn this time...
Insane Labour hasn't changed the electoral system back. Even if in this case it benefited the Lib Dems, that's better for them than the Tories or Reform winning it.
It's especially bad for them if the Tories or Reform win given they're promoting East-West Rail as a growth corridor. But the Tory/Reform candidates are super pro-car and will turbocharge the rural Cambs nimbies against any new rail - it's already going to be hard to push the route through.
I know. Another black mark, tbh, to add to the anti-immigrant talk, weakness on Israel, Streeting's anti-trans stance, and now the asinine "backwards" talk about the customs union. It makes even a tactical vote offputting. But the Tory is awful. Very conflicted.
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