Depressing: Fossil fuel emissions projected to be almost 8% higher in 2024 than in 2015, the year the Paris climate agreement was signed. www.theguardian.com/environment/... - ThreadSky

davidho.bsky.social • 100 days ago

Depressing: Fossil fuel emissions projected to be almost 8% higher in 2024 than in 2015, the year the Paris climate agreement was signed.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/nov/20/the-climate-crisis-in-charts-how-2024-has-set-unwanted-new-records?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

Comments

deriter.bsky.social•90 days ago

That why cop is a waste of time and probably big bucks too! We always find excuse why we can't reach it!

deriter.bsky.social•90 days ago

Really what have we really seen coming out of cop out ,
you can pick what ever year you desire!
It looks to me like broken promises!
That's it!

preinstorfer.bsky.social•100 days ago

The demand-oriented system (Paris Agreement) creates new markets, but it does not address the root cause of the problem. What is actually needed is a global agreement to stop developing new fossil fuel reserves (coal in 2030, oil in 2040, gas in 2050).

preinstorfer.bsky.social•99 days ago

This is the problem!

ronnytodgers.bsky.social•100 days ago

We have too many reserves already. Every new exploration effort yields book value on the corps which they know full well makes the real problem of writing those reserves off, close to impossible

preinstorfer.bsky.social•100 days ago

I recently tried to calculate the theoretically possible increase in CO2 emissions based on the available reserves of fossil fuels:
The weight of the earth's atmosphere is 5.27 x 10 E15 tons.

preinstorfer.bsky.social•100 days ago

Worldwide there are currently around 210 billion tons of crude oil, 890 billion tons of coal and 190 trillion m3 of natural gas (technically usable reserves). When these energy sources are burned, around 2.3 tons of CO2 are produced per ton of crude oil, around 2 kg of CO2 per m3 of natural gas

preinstorfer.bsky.social•100 days ago

and around 3 tons of CO2 per ton of coal (note: for coal I estimated an average value between brown coal and hard coal). If you burn all of these technically usable reserves over the next 100 years,

preinstorfer.bsky.social•100 days ago

you will emit around 2950.3 billion tons of CO2, which will increase the CO2 concentration in the earth's atmosphere by around 0.0611%. We currently have a value of around 420 PPM and in 2124 we would therefore have a value of around 1031 PPM.

ronnytodgers.bsky.social•100 days ago

They are exploring not because they need the headroom to meet the commitments we already have, they are exploring to ensure the commitments are impossible to meet. Total fucking insanity

ronnytodgers.bsky.social•100 days ago

From known reserves right now we have enough to get well over 2 degrees. We need to be talking now about how we apportion the write downs on existing reserves.

sodonpeter.bsky.social•99 days ago

Isn’t it actually a relatively good news? World real GDP increased by 40% over that time, while emissions only by 8%. So world economy generates less emissions in its growth than before

johnmarkr.bsky.social•100 days ago

Some years the U.S. is in the Paris Agreement. Some years the U.S. is out.
Does it make any difference?

zombiedemocracy.bsky.social•100 days ago

Ok, but the Paris Accord isn't a depopulation agreement. Emissions had to go up some and have peaked and fallen in many countries. If we reduced too fast you kill people with high food and energy costs and sacrificing the developing world for the pollution of the developed world would be evil.

bigalincali.bsky.social•94 days ago

And with the orange orangutan in charge again, we’re in for a tough time. I fear for my grandkids…and their kids.

jeffanddonkeys.bsky.social•100 days ago

We had to burn them to build all those solar panels, wind turbines, new highways, electric cars, oversized electric car tires, and new factories for all the above.
Work always requires energy. We get it from fossil fuels.

holyzarquon.bsky.social•100 days ago

smithdylan.bsky.social•100 days ago

Bet it wouldn't be that much higher if it wasn't for ai needing so much power.

deriter.bsky.social•90 days ago

An mining for crypto

timrote.bsky.social•100 days ago

Even more depressing is the people controlling fossil fuel production expect to keep on at record levels right through 2050.

We can't quit the oil addiction that is destroying us.

https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/sustainability-and-reports/global-outlook#Projectionsandkeytakeaways

ronnytodgers.bsky.social•100 days ago

They don’t want us to quit, it’s not the same thing at all. They never will. And it’s about time we recognise that we need to force enormous write downs on them. It ain’t gonna be easy.

brunthebear.bsky.social•100 days ago

you humans won't stop until you have no choice

maddog5.bsky.social•100 days ago

I held my fire before the election. Now I can say it. The Biden administration was a failure with respect to climate crisis. Simply encouraging more renewable energy doesn't mean you are leaving oil and gas in the ground. That is the only metric that really matters.

richaforearth.bsky.social•99 days ago

Some seek to exploit the fuel that Earth's natural processes took 200 million years to create, burning through it in just a single year for immense profits. They struggle to let go of these massive profit margins

krohnzone.bsky.social•100 days ago

Yes, this is bad, but it's not all bad news out there: China deployed more solar power nationally last year than existed globally in 2015.

mnsloureiro.bsky.social•100 days ago

At this point, screaming that the house is on fire lost any effect. Do we all have to “burn” for corporations, especially the big polluters, do do something about it?

ohmyyy.bsky.social•99 days ago

i think IEA still have peek oil only around 2028-2030

selecao13.bsky.social•99 days ago

On the upside, the EU is doing rather well on that front...

unbound55.bsky.social•100 days ago

If it wasn't for the scammers pushing crypto and AI, I wonder if we might have actually pushed fossil fuel usage down...

southsaxon.bsky.social•100 days ago

Pure insanity !

mrmarcoco.bsky.social•100 days ago

Worth those paper straws tho rite

resourcerents4all.bsky.social•100 days ago

I just attended the National Tax Association annual conference and was super disappointed in the climate presentations. These people advise lawmakers but no one's moved past the "indefinite naval gazing is fine because doing something is too expensive" mindset. In sum: I think we're screwed.

vicozandy.bsky.social•100 days ago

Nature is going to do it for us because our governance and economic feedback systems clearly won't.
Nature won't do it nicely.

On the bright side, it's probably still better than mantle-plume events or impacts, but the Stupid, it still hurts!

rowenamcewen.bsky.social•90 days ago

Thank you people who don’t believe reality.

eskopettay.bsky.social•100 days ago

Last time I was optimistic was soon after signing of the Kyoto Protocol.

But the right thing needs to be done regardless of hope, optimism, pessimism or other feelings.

tilmane.bsky.social•99 days ago

Bitter news

sharedground.bsky.social•99 days ago

Addiction is like that.

justadoormatt.bsky.social•100 days ago

A rapid transition away from fossil fuels would be very disruptive and very expensive. We have seen how the median voter punishes politicians when they think that eggs have gone up a dollar, could you imagine what would happen to our politicial system if energy and gas costs doubled overnight.

denny3.bsky.social•99 days ago

I vehemently disagree. Clean energy is less expensive. We’re still suckling at the filthy teet of black sludge cuz our fossil fuel overlords purchased all the conservative media in Australia, US & Great Britain & spent the last 45 yrs gaslighting & dividing us.

denny3.bsky.social•99 days ago

GOP Politicians don’t do shit about the climate crisis because they’re owned by their fossil fuel overlords. They’re so beholden to them, they don’t do squat in their own states AND thwart any effort for a transition to green. US is a plutocracy & the rich, fat fuckers want their easy black goo cash

justadoormatt.bsky.social•99 days ago

I think you misunderstood me. I completely agree with you. But building out the infrastructure for a full transition to renewables or renewables + nuclear will take years and probably Hundreds of billions if not Trillions of dollars because we waited so long. Thats what im talking about.

justadoormatt.bsky.social•100 days ago

Im not saying that they would double overnight. But our political systems are so fragile everywhere in the west that i kind of get why politcians are unwilling to do anything they could see as "disruptive". The problem is everyone is so damn short sighted now.

bobthebaker.bsky.social•100 days ago

RW fears of systemic change , usually expressed as 'going commie', when reality turns into what unplanned Degrowth & Post-growth scenarios look like.

https://bsky.app/profile/cusp.bsky.social/post/3lberx5kywc2l

maco1987.bsky.social•100 days ago

No matter how much we invest in renewables it will not outstrip lifestyle creep. And let's not forget that computing power is over 5% so we can have Chat GPT tell us something we can look up ourselves in seconds

paku9.bsky.social•100 days ago

Haven’t we reached peak oil tho

necho.org•99 days ago

The fracking boom complicated that a lot I think

devon123.bsky.social•100 days ago

Global GDP rose by about 50% over that time period. So if there is any silver lining or ray of hope here, it is that we have made progress in decoupling economic growth from emissions growth. Okay, I realize this is not a glass half full situation, but there is some progress to build on.

stephenlemarbre.bsky.social•100 days ago

something something infinite growth, finite planet strikes again.

been following your work for a while david, appreciate it

christoph-bertram.bsky.social•100 days ago

Indeed depressing. And reason to give up, if it wasn't for the opposite development in those 9 years: solar will soon reach the level that the IEA thought only reachable in 2040 with maximum policies https://bsky.app/profile/christoph-bertram.bsky.social/post/3l6soicfgrb2g
Similar for batteries, EVs...
All not yet enough, so there is work to do!

short-drain.bsky.social•100 days ago

Anyone else think the next COP should be held in Paris and address head on the CO2 reduction progress v that agreement. Yes other issues matter, but this is ultra urgent. 🫣

vicozandy.bsky.social•100 days ago

I think the COP should be held in Bangladesh, Kiribati, Tuvalu or somewhere like that.
They can set up tents on the beaches for the delegates and give them hand fans for cooling.
They might take it all a bit more seriously while sweating and watching the ocean waves crash nearby.

deriter.bsky.social•90 days ago

It's a farce!
Nothing but blah blah blah!

fconrotte.bsky.social•99 days ago

Cancel the COP meetings, they are useless

https://earth4all.life/views/time-for-meaningful-reform-of-the-climate-cop/

canadianben.bsky.social•100 days ago

Damn 😢

The world needs to step up its game for climate action!

nihl.fellas.army•99 days ago

cant believe we still burn fucking coal

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