For those who want to jump to the frontier in select areas of economics, the AEA has posted the webcasts of this year’s continuing lectures. Thanks much to @lawrencekatz.bsky.social for his leadership and vision in assembling these lectures. www.aeaweb.org/conference/w... - ThreadSky

johnlist.bsky.social • 118 days ago

For those who want to jump to the frontier in select areas of economics, the AEA has posted the webcasts of this year’s continuing lectures. Thanks much to @lawrencekatz.bsky.social for his leadership and vision in assembling these lectures.
https://www.aeaweb.org/conference/webcasts/2025/recent-developments

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davidrountree.bsky.social•118 days ago

Thank you so much for sharing. Lifelong learners (read: retired people who have the precious time at last), along with the economists out there, love stuff like this.

pschneider.bsky.social•109 days ago

John, you argued that null results are underappreciated in economics and that this should change. You also mentioned that, in every firm you worked with, at least one person attempted to sabotage your research. I’d love to hear your thoughts on the 1/4

pschneider.bsky.social•109 days ago

Duhem-Quine Thesis—that all empirical tests are joint tests—when it comes to experimental research. Isn't some caution reasonable when interpreting null results in field experiments? Even with the best preparations, unknown deviations from the researcher's intent may occur, 2/4

pschneider.bsky.social•109 days ago

potentially leading to null results. Do you think this concern is more pronounced in natural settings compared to more controlled environments—like running an experiment inside an existing firm versus creating your own firm for research purposes? And do you see an asymmetry, 3/4

pschneider.bsky.social•109 days ago

where unknown deviations are more likely to produce null results rather than significant effects in the pre-registered direction? 4/4

johnlist.bsky.social•109 days ago

Too early to tell with pre-reg and PAP effects, but interesting remark.

johnlist.bsky.social•109 days ago

There are always key differences to understand and recognize when considering cases when the analyst controls the assignment mechanism and when it is not controlled, or even not even well understood.

johnlist.bsky.social•109 days ago

Yes, agreed, some caution is certainly warranted. But, not discarding to zero value, which happens in some quarters.

pschneider.bsky.social•109 days ago

I fully agree that null effects can be informative and replication certainly helps in that regard.

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