I should add that Frank Graves is strongly opposed to Poilievre's policies and revealed so in the past. I had to weigh this in making my decision. But having run a survey organization myself, I knew it was extremely unlikely that he would jeopardize the integrity of EKOS polls by fudging numbers. - ThreadSky

bill-comeau.bsky.social • 1 day ago

I should add that Frank Graves is strongly opposed to Poilievre's policies and revealed so in the past. I had to weigh this in making my decision. But having run a survey organization myself, I knew it was extremely unlikely that he would jeopardize the integrity of EKOS polls by fudging numbers.

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bemuse1919.bsky.social•1 day ago

I worked with a number of research organizations in my past life, and always appreciated that Ekos had the most bias free questions.

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

Yes, we spent a lot of time looking at questions and their ordering to look for bias. Most people think a survey's margin of error is the only issue. Bias is often a more important concern than precision.

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

By "we" I mean those I worked with, not EKOS lol. I do not know Frank Graves.

bemuse1919.bsky.social•1 day ago

Oh same!

tleafto.bsky.social•1 day ago

I find it odd that 338 still hasn't added the latest EKOS poll.

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

I have patience and respect for these polling organizations and aggregators. They know that one integrity scandal would ruin their brand. I try to give the benefit of the doubt to 338 and others, until proven otherwise. Collecting all this data with quick turnarounds is stressful work.

tleafto.bsky.social•1 day ago

No doubt. That being said the latest EKOS poll is from March 15th and is still not posted yet many others conducted after that date are.
EKOS is a respected polling firm with a good rating

tleafto.bsky.social•1 day ago

Same date, not after. Hopefully it will show up soon.

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

When you work in the business, you always have doubts. Am I asking the right question, is the sample well-designed, are there too many non-respondents, have I been reasonable in weighting the data, will this trend continue or is it a blip?

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

I happen to be strongly opposed to Pierre Poilievre and his party as well. So much so that I posted a few weeks back that I was registering with the Liberals for the first time. You'll have to judge if any facts and evidence I share are inaccurate.

chungasr.bsky.social•1 day ago

You are not alone regarding your disdain for Poilievre and in registering with the Liberals.

antonpnym.bsky.social•1 day ago

Honestly I reserved judgement on those numbers until I saw other polling (even Angus Reed) showing similar results; not because I distrust EKOS but because I wanted the numbers to be true too much to trust my own judgement.

bill-comeau.bsky.social•1 day ago

Sounds reasonable to me. Opinion polls have uncertainty and opinions can change. Good to never be too invested in polling results.

antonpnym.bsky.social•1 day ago

-Reed +Reid (thank you, autocorrupt)

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