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carterpape.com
•
100 days ago
Found a winner:
https://electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html
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carterpape.com
•
100 days ago
https://electionbettingodds.com/EBO_Track_Record_Broad_2016-2022.png
https://electionbettingodds.com/EBO_Track_Record_Precise_2016-2022.png
They even have the source data on the previously linked page. Amazing.
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carterpape.com
•
100 days ago
The takeaway is that, in aggregate, prediction markets appear to be super accurate. I'd love to see 2024 data @electionbettingodds.com
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https://electionbettingodds.com/EBO_Track_Record_Precise_2016-2022.png
They even have the source data on the previously linked page. Amazing.