NEW: asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 3.1% chance of striking Earth in 2032—a new record for a dangerously sized asteroid.

The odds will likely drop eventually. But if they don’t, this is what might happen if the space rock strikes water, or land.

Me @NYTScience https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/18/science/asteroid-2024-yr4-impact.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare