The ZiPS Top 100 Prospects, now up at @fangraphs.com. blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-2025-to... - ThreadSky

dszymborski.fangraphs.com • 8 days ago

The ZiPS Top 100 Prospects, now up at @fangraphs.com.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zips-2025-top-100-prospects/

Comments

gilmore.bsky.social•8 days ago

dern. Was hoping Demetrio Crisantes would get into this list.

aaronschatz.com•8 days ago

Having just traded him away in a keeper league, I'm curious why Sebastian Walcott comes out much lower in ZiPS than in other prospect lists.

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•8 days ago

ZiPS abhors his defense.

melkondeck.substack.com•8 days ago

Justin Crawford stonks falling Aiden Miller Stonks soaring.

jeffwzimmerman.bsky.social•8 days ago

postreader99.bsky.social•8 days ago

Thanks, Dan. Johnny Rockets at 99 is miles higher than any scout-based list has him. ZiPS thinks he can hit the ball in the air vs. MLB pitching?

scb5.bsky.social•7 days ago

Hi Dan - after Jud Fabian, which other four O's were in the top 200? Will we ever see the full top 500? Thanks!

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•7 days ago

Chayce McDermott, Creed Willems, Dylan Beavers, Brandon Young. I don't publish the full top 500 because once you get past 200 or so, there's no real differentiation between the quality of prospect. I have no real basis to say Bencosme at 244 vs. Josenberger at 267 are meaningfully different

richwp.bsky.social•7 days ago

I would like to see the ZiPS order of White Sox prospects and which are in top 200 and 500. But I understand you not posting the full list. The difference between 5 and 25 is probably vastly higher than 350- 500

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•7 days ago

At least when you're talking about projections.

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•7 days ago

But conversely, Basallo at #3 and Teel at #25 *does* represent a significant difference in the projected outcomes.

It's the same reason I don't give official projections to guys in rookie ball: I only want to use ZiPS for things I think are meaningful and have real value to people

jed1.bsky.social•7 days ago

for old times. even in this horrible timeline. can we get the chris davis zips art? for me?

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•7 days ago

chaserate.bsky.social•8 days ago

Is ZiPS reading into Walker Jenkins DHing as a way to stay healthy and in the lineup as some indicator about his future? Feels like a thumb could be used on the scale to change his position there

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•8 days ago

I actually simply didn't think about putting him back into the outfield bucket since there were a thousand things to worry about; it didn't really affect his standing since ZiPS uses a significantly lesser DH penalty than fWAR.

chaserate.bsky.social•8 days ago

It does cut him (and Keaschall) out of their respective positional ranks, but that’s not that big of a deal. Appreciate the work! Always a fun time of year

dszymborski.fangraphs.com•8 days ago

Yeah, that's the part I didn't really think of! You can mentally slot him in though

skykalkman.bsky.social•7 days ago

Would be cool to convert ratings to surplus vale (via scout scale research?) and rank the farm systems based on ZiPS.

gudimjason.bsky.social•8 days ago

Probably my favorite article every Spring Training.

nfevolite.bsky.social•8 days ago

I love seeing Owen Caissie high on this list. I feel like it comes down to keeping his K% down and turning his raw power into more game power since his EVs go crazy.

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