The statistical probability is now 1 in 4,3 billion years? Happened once since the formation of our solar system? The whole Milky Way will have turned to black holes and background radiation before the next event?
Yes, there is an increasing probability that we are effectively at war. Acknowledgement would limit manoeuvre and possibly tip our hand. Stakes will rise, decisions will be made. Former officers here are talking about a year.
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But I see your point too, thanks!
Hopefully we start to respond for real.