🔴 YOUR THOUGHTS 📝⚪ Planning on doing a first (short-ish) #SAFC tactical review this evening on Substack for the Millwall, as I haven't watched it yet I'm curious what people would like it focus on, so please leave a comment below + repost 👇 ❓Both goals ❓Reshaped back line ❓2nd half domination - ThreadSky

novocast.bsky.social • 96 days ago

🔴 YOUR THOUGHTS 📝⚪

Planning on doing a first (short-ish) #SAFC tactical review this evening on Substack for the Millwall, as I haven't watched it yet

I'm curious what people would like it focus on, so please leave a comment below + repost 👇

❓Both goals
❓Reshaped back line
❓2nd half domination

Comments

reasontobelieve.bsky.social•96 days ago

It would definitely be interesting to compare the 2 halves. Easy to say we sat back too much, but what did Millwall change to make it happen, do they deserve credit for it? I thought we still looked dangerous in terms of creating good chances and more often than not we'd have seen it out

fulwellsr6.bsky.social•96 days ago

Against both Cov and Millwall we really struggled in the 2nd half compared to the 1st. Interested in the analysis of this (obviously injuries and suspensions will have played a part at Millwall).

mal1952.bsky.social•96 days ago

Failure to use substitutes.

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

Massive outlier in the league

https://bsky.app/profile/novocast.bsky.social/post/3lbcruirphs23

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

Definitely the biggest -ve trend of the season so far!

Will try to break it down - previously it's been a combination of a weak front press + compensating lower back line, with the two exacerbating one another

E.g. vs Coventry, Connolly was the lone forward, marking the CDM & not pressing the CBs

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

Could u do some analysis on dan Neil? Would like to see his stats playing further forward in comparison to his defensive role. Much prefer him further forward but do the stats support it?

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

In this game specifically, or generally?

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

Generally if u could. I personally think he is a better player further forward and gets a lot of unwarranted stick cos he’s playing defensively which is what the team need him to do rather than his natural game. I’m hoping the stats back this up. Otherwise I’m a football idiot 😂😂

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

Again, I don’t know if u could do it but could u compare his defence and attack stats against maybe the averages in those positions to see where he stands?

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

Sure, here's his profile & a crude scatter plot from @mclachbot.com

Profile shows percentile ranking (size of slice) vs Champ midfielders

Scatter plot:
- X Axis: Tackle + Interceptions
- Y Axis: Prog. Pass Distance
- Size: Mins played
- Colour: # of Recoveries

Also see: https://fbref.com/en/players/a47ad0f5/scout/12525/Daniel-Neil-Scouting-Report

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

Definitely the difference in the halves. My thoughts were we changed tactics and sat back cos millwall would be more open trying for an equaliser and we hoping to catch them on break. Almost paid off but sadly it wasn’t to be. If we go for it and get caught out the RLB gets stuck aswell. Can’t win.

xtfrtalr.bsky.social•96 days ago

I think this was exactly the plan

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

Yeah. Think if it comes off it’s tactical genius but if u concede last minute then u ballsesed it up. Actually think it’s the right way to go away from home if u take an early lead. Make them try to break u down and over commit. Back ur defenders to do their job and win the game.

petersc1.bsky.social•96 days ago

* then RLB gets stick aswell.

daveyjames25.bsky.social•96 days ago

2nd half for me. We definitely miss a specialist DM. Not Neil’s position so I’m not criticising him.

RLB touched on it in his press conf. today saying we won first contact through Mepham or Ballard yet Millwall were first to the ball far too often.

A good DM would sweep up those knock downs.

rnel50n.bsky.social•94 days ago

Highly unlikely to sign but Jordan Henderson could be exactly what we need in January

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

From an analysis thread on X, after the QPR game

novocast.bsky.social•96 days ago

Link to the full thread; can convert it into a Substack post for readability if you prefer

https://x.com/NovocastSAFC/status/1854138511311429721

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