As we move into the second month of the year, Frontelligence Insight has prepared an early assessment report covering recent developments on the frontlines and within both Ukrainian and Russian military forces. Below are some key highlights from the report. 1/ 🧵Thread: - ThreadSky

tatarigami.bsky.social • 18 days ago

As we move into the second month of the year, Frontelligence Insight has prepared an early assessment report covering recent developments on the frontlines and within both Ukrainian and Russian military forces. Below are some key highlights from the report.
1/ 🧵Thread:

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yogaclown7.bsky.social•18 days ago

Phenomenal analysis. Glimmers of hope are emerging after few tough months

birthba.bsky.social•18 days ago

📌

nilth.bsky.social•18 days ago

If possible, you should also address the close russian economic collapse or in any case how the push towards it (sanctions, bombed refineries, etc..) will probably affect or is already affecting the battlefield. Cause that could win you the war too.

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

2/ The frontline dynamics for Ukraine remain challenging, with setbacks in Pokrovsk, Chasiv Yar, Kupyansk, and Toretsk. While leadership is working to address organizational and recruitment issues, it will take time for these changes to be implemented and impact the battlefield.

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

3/ Russian forces are facing high losses, with tens of thousands of AWOL cases and a significant depletion of armored vehicles, which are being replaced by civilian transport. Nevertheless, they continue advancing in areas where Ukrainian defenses are stretched with few people

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

4/ Ukraine has arguably achieved firepower parity with Russia in several frontline areas, primarily due to the extensive use of drones. However, despite this parity, Ukraine continues to lose ground, as a shortage of manpower on defensive positions enables Russian advances

ehen.bsky.social•18 days ago

😬😬😬

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

5/ Russia is focused on securing control over the T0504 highway, which runs through Pokrovsk, Kostyantynivka, and Bakhmut. Despite ongoing logistical problems, morale issues, and command competency, their advances are unlikely to slow down significantly in the immediate term

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

6/ The final phase of Chasiv Yar's defense is nearing completion, and full occupation of the city appears imminent. While Chasiv Yar was a key barrier to Slovyansk, and Kramatorsk, the russians failed to break through defenses, and the defensive line simply shifted further

tatarigami.bsky.social•18 days ago

7/ Russian forces in the Toretsk area, including units from the 51st CAA, are focused on gaining full control of the town and surrounding settlements. We expect them to push towards Kostyantynivka and advance north from Toretsk to hit the rears of Ukrainian units near Kurdyumivka

stepanjindra.bsky.social•18 days ago

Thanks, It's good to hear there is a progress in command and organization.

criticus.bsky.social•18 days ago

Tx Tata! Hopefully the pressure on Russia’s oil infrastructure will help to make their life more difficult.

gavin69.bsky.social•18 days ago

Thanks @tatarigami.bsky.social very interesting assessment. I wish the outlook for Ukraine was more positive

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