... fire their managers during a run of 10 PL-games (ie. most teams ever). This gives us a population of 17995 runs. When we divide these into the same five categories, we get the following results:
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As we can see here, keeping your manager after a certain spell of five game weeks gives you similar results compared to switching, although hiring seems slightly more favorable. For teams scoring less than 0.5PPM over a five gameweek run, you are ‘on-average’ almost the exact same off keeping ...
Take a look at this season for example. Between GW9 and 13, Aston Villa scored 2 points (0.4PPM). However, they kept the same manager, and scored 9 points in the next five (1.8PPM). So perhaps, a 'new manager bounce' is inevitable after hiring because of a ...
It might be different however when clubs have played bad all season.
PART 2
In this part, we will be comparing the average PPM of a manager in his first five games after his arrival to the average seasonal PPM of his team before his arrival. As stated before, managers ...
score 1.27PPM in their first five games, compared to an 'average' seasonal average of 0.94PPM before hand. Again, to get a closer look, we divide these into the same five categories.
To make sure that we have a big enough sample for the seasonal PPM, we have only taken into account managers hired after GW10. Here, the numbers in the categories from 0.0-1.49 seem quite significant, but once again we have to compare them to our population:
Here actually, for a PPM season average of under 0.5, managers who stayed actually did a slightly better job in the next five matches then recently hired once. Again, this could be for a number of reasons hard to put into numbers, but it might have to do with the fact that these teams generally ...
Comments
Take a look at this season for example. Between GW9 and 13, Aston Villa scored 2 points (0.4PPM). However, they kept the same manager, and scored 9 points in the next five (1.8PPM). So perhaps, a 'new manager bounce' is inevitable after hiring because of a ...
It might be different however when clubs have played bad all season.
PART 2
In this part, we will be comparing the average PPM of a manager in his first five games after his arrival to the average seasonal PPM of his team before his arrival. As stated before, managers ...